Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: C9 (-2.5) vs Sentinels (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8ad79dd4d2987d670436a651e1ab686c609333f4650a04b4d015a01fff60d66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sentinelsof Cloud9, Sentinels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,950 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked Cloud9 | 52c | 31,058$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,000 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sentinels | 48c | 20,617$9,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,792.71 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed Sentinels | 50c | 9,043$4,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,523.4 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Sentinels | 50c | 781.47$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.55 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked Sentinels | 50c | 646$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.5 | 288 | 37.5%108 W · 180 L | -16.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Cloud9 | 50c | 502.87$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.19 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Sentinels | 50c | 429.88$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.5 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49de…5d47backed Cloud9 | 62c | 181.74$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Sentinels | 50c | 76.21$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Sentinels | 47c | 72.56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.26 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Cloud9 | 30c | 71.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Sentinels | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Sentinels | 50c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 415 | 44.6%185 W · 230 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ad…9d51backed Cloud9 | 60c | 36.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: C9 (-2.5) vs Sentinels (+2.5)this page
- Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5)Cloud9 won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Americas Cup PlayoffsCloud9 won
- LoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 - Game 1 WinnerCloud9 won
- LoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 - Game 2 WinnerSentinels won
- LoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 - Game 3 WinnerCloud9 won
- LoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 - Game 4 WinnerCloud9 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.