CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03cf9101452c3b255eb7f0d2e7904107556a5458b96a3bcc99855b41f7736593
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, 9z
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $243,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $243,311 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked 9z | 12c | 30,467$3,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,805.7 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked 9z | 1c | 27,782$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.19 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5c…45bbbacked 9z | 0c | 7,447$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked 9z | 15c | 4,781$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.57 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed 9z | 14c | 4,633$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.89 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed 9z | 16c | 4,550$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.7 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed 9z | 10c | 4,063$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.3 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked 9z | 1c | 4,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed 9z | 16c | 3,838$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.11 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked 9z | 15c | 3,502$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.64 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 9z | 10c | 3,180$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.33 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed 9z | 16c | 3,100$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.99 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked 9z | 1c | 3,012$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed 9z | 12c | 2,429$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.18 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked 9z | 16c | 2,238$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.13 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed 9z | 15c | 1,884$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.51 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked 9z | 18c | 1,628$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked 9z | 17c | 1,250$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.65 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed 9z | 14c | 1,200$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.5 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked 9z | 6c | 1,154$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked 9z | 15c | 1,005$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.3 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked 9z | 15c | 999.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed 9z | 6c | 963$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.78 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x547c…07debacked 9z | 3c | 933.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed 9z | 2c | 808.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4564…c051backed 9z | 13c | 743.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed 9z | 15c | 672$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.72 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked 9z | 7c | 603.27$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed 9z | 15c | 600$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 9z | 13c | 548.96$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.46 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 9z | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed 9z | 14c | 430$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 298 | 31.5%94 W · 204 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed 9z | 20c | 399.84$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.47 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eca…8602backed 9z | 16c | 386.14$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.54 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb91…d0eabacked 9z | 12c | 291.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked 9z | 16c | 279.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.31 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9d…1299backed 9z | 11c | 277.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed 9z | 16c | 257.4$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.88 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed 9z | 20c | 237.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd81…2968backed 9z | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5a…d5dabacked 9z | 15c | 169.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked 9z | 20c | 166.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b0…e041backed 9z | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf056…0f44backed 9z | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed 9z | 15c | 121.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed 9z | 17c | 121.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed 9z | 17c | 119.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…e4bcbacked 9z | 14c | 116.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9443…7c5dbacked 9z | 17c | 114.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…28fcbacked 9z | 18c | 110$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked 9z | 18c | 100.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked 9z | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb8…fe21backed 9z | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked 9z | 17c | 92.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767f…533dbacked 9z | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked 9z | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 446 | 41.3%184 W · 262 L | -28.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed 9z | 15c | 79.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 9z | 17c | 78.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Vitality | 80c | 68$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed 9z | 17c | 66.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked 9z | 20c | 63.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b4…17b1backed 9z | 17c | 63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Vitality | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf1cc…95b7backed Vitality | 79c | 35.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Vitality | 76c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…75eebacked Vitality | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group BVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.