CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8df45baa68bfa8b74b2b531d8e6541e98812729a3c52beef16e66512295f3943
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, 9z
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $224,434
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,434 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed 9z | 10c | 31,423$3,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,142.35 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked 9z | 10c | 22,012$2,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,206.08 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b91…06c4backed 9z | 15c | 13,688$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,993.58 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.24per pick | 32cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked 9z | 11c | 12,670$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.67 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked 9z | 11c | 10,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…decabacked 9z | 19c | 5,216$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 192 | 29.2%56 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked 9z | 17c | 4,835$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.6 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed 9z | 18c | 3,381$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.41 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed 9z | 10c | 3,245$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.68 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed 9z | 11c | 2,780$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.1 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked 9z | 14c | 2,500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 9z | 12c | 2,118$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.89 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed 9z | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed 9z | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed 9z | 15c | 1,492$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.79 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 9z | 3c | 1,253$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed 9z | 8c | 1,165$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.61 | 298 | 31.5%94 W · 204 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked 9z | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed 9z | 15c | 999.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.84 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked 9z | 16c | 959.99$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.1 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked 9z | 8c | 888.5$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.08 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked 9z | 9c | 871.17$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.67 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed 9z | 7c | 803.71$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.35 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed 9z | 12c | 795.25$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.43 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa157…8641backed 9z | 3c | 666.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed 9z | 12c | 613.64$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.43 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed 9z | 5c | 539.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked 9z | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 9z | 5c | 492$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed 9z | 11c | 403.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…8228backed 9z | 13c | 311.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed 9z | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…4f91backed 9z | 12c | 258.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed 9z | 9c | 221.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x19b0…e041backed 9z | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed 9z | 17c | 181.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed 9z | 16c | 125.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked 9z | 18c | 111.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe303…401abacked 9z | 12c | 111.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked 9z | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed 9z | 13c | 79.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group BVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.