CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc6b9672fbfc195c2479819455546b714ea177bb39bb51f87b1d2907c26a93f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,895 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 78c | 539.65$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.51 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 21c | 415.15$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.02 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 27c | 323.77$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.6 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 22c | 269$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed Under | 78c | 256.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.13 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 22c | 249.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Over | 23c | 236.66$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.38 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…d792backed Under | 78c | 226$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.72 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Over | 22c | 199.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 75c | 148.85$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 13c | 146.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Under | 80c | 125.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 173 | 57.2%99 W · 74 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe140…949fbacked Under | 79c | 125.32$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f22…9d96backed Over | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Over | 19c | 99.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 15c | 99.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed Over | 21c | 91.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 22c | 84.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Over | 24c | 73.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 23c | 68.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa36a…1360backed Under | 78c | 62.03$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Over | 24c | 58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2739…1a9dbacked Over | 37c | 39.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Under | 79c | 38.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb91…f1edbacked Under | 77c | 31.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe303…401abacked Under | 80c | 27.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cb…0134backed Under | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe902…eda4backed Under | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd34…830cbacked Under | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Under | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group BVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.