TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vitalityof Vitality, 9z
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$274,993

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $274,993 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked 9z27c40,000$10,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,80039249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked 9z27c35,871$9,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,624.4783652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed 9z28c31,566$8,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,863.7514441.7%60 W · 84 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Vitality73c30,000$21,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,10076058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x04fe…3688backed Vitality74c21,866$16,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,746.971266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed 9z26c15,382$3,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,997.3310551.4%54 W · 51 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Vitality73c14,985$10,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,046.0222049.1%108 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6551…e043backed 9z27c7,500$2,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,024.993158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x098b…1fa5backed Vitality73c5,000$3,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35012441.1%51 W · 73 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Vitality73c5,000$3,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.9971645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed 9z28c4,667$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.4225845.7%118 W · 140 L-18.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Vitality72c4,629$3,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,296.1747147.3%223 W · 248 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed Vitality74c4,178$3,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,101.8831444.9%141 W · 173 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Vitality72c4,172$3,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.1430340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f4adbacked Vitality74c4,067$3,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.419047.9%91 W · 99 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Vitality72c3,790$2,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.1664552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 9z13c3,449$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.093,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c7…620cbacked 9z30c3,334$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.2914144%62 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked Vitality73c2,868$2,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.2928443.7%124 W · 160 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Vitality72c2,732$1,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.8723145.9%106 W · 125 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Vitality72c2,700$1,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76936245.3%164 W · 198 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Vitality71c2,590$1,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.18847.7%42 W · 46 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3b8…b4d8backed Vitality73c1,780$1,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.475151%26 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked 9z25c1,773$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.6314839.2%58 W · 90 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8120…54c9backed Vitality71c1,761$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.5620838%79 W · 129 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3290…d1ffbacked Vitality70c1,580$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.36246.8%29 W · 33 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Vitality72c1,558$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.2345058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Vitality73c1,540$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.8310945%49 W · 60 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5818…44a3backed Vitality73c1,443$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.566248.4%30 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Vitality74c1,406$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.5619850.5%100 W · 98 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2700…9165backed Vitality73c1,400$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3784645.7%21 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Vitality73c1,325$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.8438358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3878…1ab8backed Vitality76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24017840.4%72 W · 106 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Vitality71c1,000$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.2757358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Vitality70c977.22$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.7198052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Vitality73c950.68$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.6845162.3%281 W · 170 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Vitality74c946.88$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.1912352.8%65 W · 58 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f3b…0cf9backed Vitality75c927.73$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.735959.3%35 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed Vitality74c849.04$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.754122%9 W · 32 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-50.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Vitality73c838.08$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.7960248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x959f…9e2fbacked Vitality73c832.81$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.869258.7%54 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26ac…a735backed 9z26c774.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20024429.5%72 W · 172 L-0.3wins0.00per pick30cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc497…aea1backed 9z25c754.23$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc55…afe5backed Vitality75c754.23$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Vitality74c733.36$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.6724544.5%109 W · 136 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed Vitality73c684.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.9327950.2%140 W · 139 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3488…54c2backed Vitality74c675.68$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.6814856.1%83 W · 65 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Vitality73c667$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.0918657%106 W · 80 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Vitality75c653.88$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.625,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 9z29c644.9$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.041,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked 9z26c628.4$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.3135850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed 9z29c607.56$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1755,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65e3…4351backed Vitality74c560.25$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.541850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Vitality73c533.29$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8219362.2%120 W · 73 L-16.0wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-12.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8393…4f91backed 9z10c465$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick29cpaid-85.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed 9z19c461.59$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.12,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf56d…9eeabacked Vitality73c443.99$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.8814853.4%79 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked 9z25c420$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10538844.3%172 W · 216 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x055a…b50ebacked Vitality72c416.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.674443.2%19 W · 25 L-7.4wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-30.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbd99…c06cbacked Vitality74c404.27$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.115662.5%35 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Vitality73c376.71$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.7123858.4%139 W · 99 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb2de…6e5cbacked Vitality74c372.58$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.87250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc5…d1a4backed 9z27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005648.2%27 W · 29 L+7.2wins+0.13per pick35cpaid+24.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed 9z27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x143d…2602backed Vitality71c368.44$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.8512557.6%72 W · 53 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Vitality73c367.44$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.4415164.2%97 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd758…7af8backed 9z28c365.36$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.36931.9%22 W · 47 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked 9z27c363.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009443.6%41 W · 53 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x901f…b8b0backed Vitality71c357.61$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.6129558.6%173 W · 122 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Vitality72c339.21$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.981,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Vitality74c337.84$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.8459049.7%293 W · 297 L-31.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcba0…97bfbacked Vitality72c336.97$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.987647.4%36 W · 40 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+44.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc0f2…fe12backed Vitality71c332.37$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.921346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7178…8fb9backed Vitality73c307.83$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.796454.7%35 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed Vitality74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7845244.5%201 W · 251 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7d1…ba29backed 9z25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510139.6%40 W · 61 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaea9…42a1backed Vitality72c289.84$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.84850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Vitality72c280.55$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5512552.8%66 W · 59 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed Vitality73c275.9$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.4923557.4%135 W · 100 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed 9z28c275$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7715056%84 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b15…823fbacked Vitality71c274.51$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.61475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3c5…f095backed Vitality73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9760358.5%353 W · 250 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed Vitality75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6722952%119 W · 110 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Vitality72c261.11$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.1176748%368 W · 399 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed 9z27c250$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.51,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Vitality72c240$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.81,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed 9z23c239.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.250947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd68d…1f62backed Vitality73c231.88$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.6125446.1%117 W · 137 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe52e…ac6dbacked 9z13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+24.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe02f…3d4cbacked Vitality72c222.7$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.717053.5%91 W · 79 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f49…463abacked 9z24c210$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.417945.3%81 W · 98 L-0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x461f…8719backed Vitality72c208.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3312544.8%56 W · 69 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x476b…30a0backed Vitality72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Vitality73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5413030.8%40 W · 90 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed 9z29c195.5$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.745639.3%179 W · 277 L-29.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3c7…bf04backed 9z28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503540%14 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Vitality72c177.04$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.177545.3%34 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed 9z23c169.27$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.242,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x3cf9…dde4backed Vitality71c169.01$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0116766.5%111 W · 56 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x755c…0854backed Vitality73c156.16$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.165056%28 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.