Lol · resolved market
LoL: G2 NORD vs Witchcraft (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73d8e486ccd4bcda76aae2054bbbb9d5db54a750f783208a98d429c63e0f3807
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 NORDof G2 NORD, Witchcraft
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $166,425
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,425 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked G2 NORD | 44c | 16,795$7,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,488.12 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…b4cebacked Witchcraft | 38c | 13,139$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked G2 NORD | 23c | 3,323$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560.26 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b4…19acbacked G2 NORD | 18c | 2,849$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,346.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed G2 NORD | 20c | 2,627$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.92 | 397 | 70.3%279 W · 118 L | +30.9wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd975…8c73backed G2 NORD | 26c | 2,080$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.85 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.28per pick | 41cpaid | +175%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…6599backed Witchcraft | 2c | 1,954$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 3cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed G2 NORD | 37c | 1,870$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.21 | 481 | 57.6%277 W · 204 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked G2 NORD | 71c | 1,782$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.51 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked G2 NORD | 19c | 1,676$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.95 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcafe…41cfbacked Witchcraft | 1c | 1,634$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Witchcraft | 61c | 1,436$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.93 | 283 | 61.5%174 W · 109 L | +18.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…4ca4backed G2 NORD | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.3 | 150 | 62%93 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed G2 NORD | 9c | 1,349$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.48 | 3,119 | 33.7%1,052 W · 2,067 L | -151.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…cfc0backed Witchcraft | 67c | 1,342$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 184 | 51.6%95 W · 89 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Witchcraft | 79c | 1,317$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.14 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed G2 NORD | 40c | 1,270$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.03 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…0b70backed G2 NORD | 40c | 1,253$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.37 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked G2 NORD | 18c | 1,249$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.26 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed G2 NORD | 18c | 1,237$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.63 | 1,476 | 48.3%713 W · 763 L | +45.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…4857backed Witchcraft | 80c | 1,203$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed G2 NORD | 19c | 1,120$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.85 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Witchcraft | 79c | 1,116$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.89 | 642 | 43%276 W · 366 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…fec8backed Witchcraft | 76c | 1,046$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.68 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…d1ffbacked Witchcraft | 74c | 1,006$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23ec…759fbacked Witchcraft | 2c | 1,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 3cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd857…c092backed Witchcraft | 1c | 1,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea1…f17ebacked Witchcraft | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Witchcraft | 46c | 905.72$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.4 | 2,672 | 35.7%954 W · 1,718 L | -153.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Witchcraft | 43c | 825.19$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.57 | 392 | 46.4%182 W · 210 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed G2 NORD | 19c | 815.85$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.76 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed G2 NORD | 28c | 779.38$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.9 | 2,903 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,784 L | -117.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed Witchcraft | 80c | 716.68$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.34 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf931…edddbacked Witchcraft | 3c | 687.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked G2 NORD | 21c | 678.95$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.35 | 402 | 37.8%152 W · 250 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed G2 NORD | 18c | 659.52$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.52 | 240 | 35.4%85 W · 155 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2de…6e5cbacked Witchcraft | 76c | 644.73$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.7 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd5…8f67backed Witchcraft | 80c | 624.13$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Witchcraft | 80c | 623.13$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.5 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked G2 NORD | 57c | 589.69$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.24 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Witchcraft | 4c | 540$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf5…94ecbacked Witchcraft | 2c | 533.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Witchcraft | 80c | 500$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.51 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…fe3bbacked Witchcraft | 2c | 500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.25per pick | 3cpaid | +709.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked G2 NORD | 23c | 500$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.5 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Witchcraft | 66c | 497.02$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.26 | 483 | 53.4%258 W · 225 L | -19.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8de…ed08backed G2 NORD | 12c | 472.78$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.42 | 122 | 20.5%25 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed G2 NORD | 49c | 458$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.58 | 862 | 51.3%442 W · 420 L | +51.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7af0…509dbacked Witchcraft | 79c | 426.99$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.32 | 252 | 68.3%172 W · 80 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed G2 NORD | 74c | 422.22$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.64 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed G2 NORD | 20c | 411$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.57 | 329 | 41%135 W · 194 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Witchcraft | 47c | 410$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.4 | 679 | 31.8%216 W · 463 L | -31.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed G2 NORD | 13c | 405.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.67 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0f…1fbabacked G2 NORD | 19c | 405.26$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.26 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Witchcraft | 76c | 400$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 989 | 56.8%562 W · 427 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9aa…619cbacked Witchcraft | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…f681backed G2 NORD | 20c | 400$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 370 | 39.5%146 W · 224 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Witchcraft | 80c | 400$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.72 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…1135backed G2 NORD | 37c | 400$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.41 | 440 | 42%185 W · 255 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked G2 NORD | 25c | 396.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.83 | 1,441 | 43.4%625 W · 816 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…1d74backed G2 NORD | 18c | 384.83$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.41 | 330 | 40.3%133 W · 197 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked G2 NORD | 18c | 380.12$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.88 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed G2 NORD | 17c | 377$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.25 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb90…8dd8backed G2 NORD | 6c | 375$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.75 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | +434.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…4db5backed G2 NORD | 21c | 368.53$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.53 | 249 | 39%97 W · 152 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed G2 NORD | 25c | 365.82$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.6 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…6646backed Witchcraft | 28c | 362.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Witchcraft | 65c | 361.43$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.08 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Witchcraft | 57c | 359.82$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.87 | 1,726 | 29.4%507 W · 1,219 L | -124.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x970a…6b89backed G2 NORD | 43c | 346.64$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.82 | 413 | 47.7%197 W · 216 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f5…1700backed Witchcraft | 74c | 339.92$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed G2 NORD | 14c | 338.3$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.3 | 512 | 47.3%242 W · 270 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Witchcraft | 34c | 323.37$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.97 | 1,079 | 26%281 W · 798 L | -99.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed G2 NORD | 19c | 318$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.91 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c5…6394backed Witchcraft | 32c | 309.38$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…9896backed Witchcraft | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 506 | 46%233 W · 273 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed G2 NORD | 15c | 300$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked G2 NORD | 19c | 300$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 611 | 43.5%266 W · 345 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d51…d971backed Witchcraft | 76c | 296.51$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.76 | 670 | 57.5%385 W · 285 L | +24.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed G2 NORD | 18c | 291.76$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.97 | 275 | 35.3%97 W · 178 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Witchcraft | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Witchcraft | 49c | 283$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.61 | 2,303 | 39.4%907 W · 1,396 L | -82.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34c0…f052backed G2 NORD | 20c | 272.8$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +396%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…2affbacked Witchcraft | 5c | 266.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Witchcraft | 50c | 264$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.01 | 1,923 | 35.9%690 W · 1,233 L | -98.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed G2 NORD | 49c | 263.58$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.6 | 2,490 | 47.3%1,179 W · 1,311 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Witchcraft | 64c | 259.39$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.33 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcb…5085backed G2 NORD | 58c | 258.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 236 | 56.8%134 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed G2 NORD | 18c | 250$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.25 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…afa6backed G2 NORD | 24c | 249.8$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.2 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d20…ca2abacked G2 NORD | 18c | 246.58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.2 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Witchcraft | 51c | 240.15$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.23 | 461 | 53.6%247 W · 214 L | -24.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0122…f1aabacked Witchcraft | 78c | 237$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.86 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked G2 NORD | 48c | 231.33$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.15 | 361 | 55.4%200 W · 161 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbc…5dfcbacked G2 NORD | 75c | 231.23$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.81 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd15e…db59backed Witchcraft | 52c | 225.68$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.69 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked G2 NORD | 20c | 220$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 605 | 38.8%235 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed G2 NORD | 49c | 205.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.87 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked G2 NORD | 9c | 204.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.78 | 1,023 | 45.1%461 W · 562 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Witchcraft | 51c | 203.75$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.68 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: G2 NORD vs Witchcraft (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Dthis page
- Game Handicap: WT (-1.5) vs G2 NORD (+1.5)G2 NORD won
- LoL: G2 NORD vs Witchcraft - Game 1 WinnerWitchcraft won
- LoL: G2 NORD vs Witchcraft - Game 2 WinnerG2 NORD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.