Lol · resolved market
LoL: G2 NORD vs Witchcraft - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc13af363e237e2a6bd47e47662ff6b85d9653cf455030d9ad6de34ab95fbe9c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 NORDof G2 NORD, Witchcraft
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $189,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $208,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed Witchcraft | 0c | 131,492$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 131 | 71%93 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9135…a63ebacked Witchcraft | 2c | 4,202$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.16 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…cfc0backed G2 NORD | 26c | 3,814$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,808.92 | 184 | 51.6%95 W · 89 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8f…6353backed Witchcraft | 23c | 2,708$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Witchcraft | 1c | 1,818$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Witchcraft | 71c | 1,493$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.83 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Witchcraft | 73c | 1,367$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.85 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…c691backed G2 NORD | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890 | 198 | 39.9%79 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked G2 NORD | 26c | 940$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.3 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed G2 NORD | 17c | 927.26$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.63 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…fd67backed G2 NORD | 19c | 647.54$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.02 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked G2 NORD | 45c | 640.77$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.28 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f5…1700backed Witchcraft | 78c | 515.4$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…b62dbacked Witchcraft | 79c | 506.58$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 685 | 57.5%394 W · 291 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed G2 NORD | 11c | 505.74$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.44 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Witchcraft | 69c | 490.91$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.7 | 392 | 46.4%182 W · 210 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…fec8backed Witchcraft | 61c | 450$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.8 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…0b70backed Witchcraft | 37c | 378.16$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.65 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x395f…dcacbacked G2 NORD | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked G2 NORD | 27c | 322.08$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.58 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Witchcraft | 17c | 317.45$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb311…a72dbacked G2 NORD | 12c | 249.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.83 | 224 | 52.2%117 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed G2 NORD | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.44 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…5ea8backed G2 NORD | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Witchcraft | 62c | 185.64$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.1 | 461 | 53.6%247 W · 214 L | -24.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed G2 NORD | 21c | 178.28$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.84 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c5…6394backed G2 NORD | 17c | 150$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.5 | 87 | 26.4%23 W · 64 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd1…17ccbacked G2 NORD | 18c | 129.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.09 | 601 | 24.1%145 W · 456 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3773…e51bbacked G2 NORD | 40c | 118.08$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.72 | 187 | 43.3%81 W · 106 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked G2 NORD | 43c | 116.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.25 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d19…296ebacked G2 NORD | 9c | 106.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.1 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…d1ffbacked Witchcraft | 74c | 102.11$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.56 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf795…5e34backed G2 NORD | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 100 | 17%17 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed G2 NORD | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.99 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked G2 NORD | 45c | 91.26$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.19 | 605 | 38.8%235 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…17e0backed G2 NORD | 17c | 88.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 109 | 7.3%8 W · 101 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…2affbacked Witchcraft | 17c | 83.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed G2 NORD | 20c | 80$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 1,175 | 47.4%557 W · 618 L | +42.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62a2…37c9backed Witchcraft | 66c | 70$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Witchcraft | 73c | 69.2$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.78 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…fecfbacked G2 NORD | 31c | 65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe9…dc0abacked G2 NORD | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed G2 NORD | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 512 | 47.3%242 W · 270 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed G2 NORD | 38c | 51.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.64 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Witchcraft | 46c | 45.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f8…ce1dbacked G2 NORD | 28c | 44.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +255.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked G2 NORD | 60c | 38.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b05…078abacked Witchcraft | 58c | 30.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed Witchcraft | 77c | 30.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 481 | 57.6%277 W · 204 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Witchcraft | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32df…cce8backed Witchcraft | 69c | 28.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +133.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Witchcraft | 72c | 15.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: G2 NORD vs Witchcraft - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: WT (-1.5) vs G2 NORD (+1.5)G2 NORD won
- LoL: G2 NORD vs Witchcraft (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group DG2 NORD won
- LoL: G2 NORD vs Witchcraft - Game 1 WinnerWitchcraft won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.