Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe01ea10a8744e2d7500ff2d5c8b0600fedd9f133a09cd294c434a126d7ddcdc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2eef…eacabacked Yes | 3c | 12,021$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.73 | 214 | 29.9%64 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8091…f818backed Yes | 3c | 5,863$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked No | 78c | 5,047$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.74 | 122 | 32.8%40 W · 82 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes | 1c | 4,223$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.11 | 427 | 19.2%82 W · 345 L | +23.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…f623backed Yes | 1c | 3,828$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…1a08backed Yes | 4c | 3,745$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.11 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +119.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x020b…98e9backed Yes | 1c | 3,660$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ab…e99cbacked Yes | 6c | 3,442$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.05 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e0…b09bbacked Yes | 0c | 3,072$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 68 | 8.8%6 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes | 1c | 2,675$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 553 | 5.6%31 W · 522 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8965…1c4ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,672$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b42…229ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,275$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 103 | 22.3%23 W · 80 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 42c | 1,258$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.32 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 572 | 22%126 W · 446 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 64c | 964.16$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.82 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 4c | 858.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 89 | 15.7%14 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…567fbacked Yes | 8c | 816.76$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.54 | 361 | 13.3%48 W · 313 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe953…a4f9backed Yes | 16c | 741.12$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.25 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2637…26e1backed Yes | 3c | 704.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e43…b356backed Yes | 2c | 702.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 178 | 18.5%33 W · 145 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…37febacked Yes | 55c | 697.35$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.58 | 316 | 21.8%69 W · 247 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 30c | 632.82$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.53 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 29c | 586.13$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.28 | 503 | 19.5%98 W · 405 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 48c | 571.38$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.02 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4257…7d12backed Yes | 7c | 557.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes | 5c | 541.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 559 | 8.2%46 W · 513 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e6…0389backed Yes | 3c | 531.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb9…669dbacked Yes | 3c | 518.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…a910backed No | 64c | 488.39$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.16 | 336 | 70.2%236 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…0432backed Yes | 16c | 459.48$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.68 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed No | 59c | 403.58$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.72 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ea…02edbacked Yes | 3c | 333.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 135 | 11.9%16 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0074…075fbacked Yes | 13c | 326.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbc…6e47backed Yes | 4c | 308.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 66c | 299.98$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.79 | 426 | 28.2%120 W · 306 L | -38.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…07febacked Yes | 63c | 291.22$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.73 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…c11cbacked Yes | 11c | 248.51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed No | 45c | 210.23$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.6 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 60c | 208.18$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.05 | 264 | 61.7%163 W · 101 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76fa…3ff4backed Yes | 76c | 200$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6688…fdcebacked Yes | 69c | 199.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb8…b468backed Yes | 73c | 199.76$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.96 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 59c | 176.36$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.9 | 996 | 19.8%197 W · 799 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 43c | 152.05$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9484…a173backed Yes | 27c | 130.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 400 | 16.8%67 W · 333 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 46c | 103.34$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 395 | 18.7%74 W · 321 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 49c | 100.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.27 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf366…425ebacked Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…9e4bbacked Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa6…0b79backed Yes | 65c | 99.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa222…7d3cbacked No | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.86 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +344.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…fdbebacked Yes | 69c | 99.64$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 205 | 32.7%67 W · 138 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 63c | 86.97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 229 | 26.6%61 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…9644backed Yes | 54c | 83.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa920…a07abacked No | 34c | 82.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.13 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9439…9d6fbacked Yes | 60c | 79.66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.01 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9a…4373backed Yes | 68c | 78.61$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.67 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +92%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 40c | 74.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 55c | 73.7$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.92 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 66c | 69.78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 67c | 61.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…90a2backed No | 41c | 61.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 36c | 55.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed No | 72c | 52.93$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed No | 64c | 50.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 114 | 30.7%35 W · 79 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6938…b3ddbacked No | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41c6…4577backed Yes | 69c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…77acbacked Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 159 | 25.2%40 W · 119 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9955…85afbacked No | 38c | 49.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 183 | 57.9%106 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x915e…6f4bbacked Yes | 77c | 46.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9205…2aa7backed Yes | 46c | 45.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 52c | 42.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…fe29backed No | 61c | 38.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee38…fd31backed No | 76c | 34.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…d13ebacked Yes | 69c | 34.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce1…e827backed Yes | 59c | 33.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7748…58d7backed No | 34c | 31.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…8a8dbacked Yes | 66c | 30.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -54%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…1096backed Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd0…046fbacked No | 35c | 29.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb220…5f71backed Yes | 72c | 29.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ee…3259backed Yes | 70c | 28.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked Yes | 69c | 24.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9443…7c5dbacked Yes | 62c | 23.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff9…0141backed Yes | 70c | 20.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb5…7588backed No | 69c | 20.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 145 | 75.9%110 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89cc…394dbacked Yes | 65c | 17.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f2a…260abacked Yes | 71c | 14.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.