Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on April 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98cbb9493c8098feec5d5884012e0505ca0c6e1c778b4b25b0ffb066eb6f04da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,649
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,649 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe07e…0e7ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,013$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.14 | 334 | 50.6%169 W · 165 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63dc…ecefbacked No | 75c | 2,273$1,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.63 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.29per pick | 63cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4e…14cfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 138 | 9.4%13 W · 125 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 2cpaid | +357.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 35c | 815.79$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.48 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 3c | 625$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eea…00c5backed Yes | 63c | 487.64$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.3 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 59c | 338.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…7465backed Yes | 42c | 323.93$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.42 | 352 | 33%116 W · 236 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 27c | 283.89$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.74 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 41c | 276.14$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.23 | 497 | 50.3%250 W · 247 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked No | 63c | 208.21$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.76 | 613 | 65.3%400 W · 213 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4da…dfb5backed Yes | 24c | 168.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 31c | 156.12$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 71c | 155.58$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 54c | 154.02$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.39 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 60c | 153.96$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.63 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 60c | 134.2$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.19 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 56c | 130$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.33 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe188…197bbacked Yes | 42c | 127.12$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 20c | 117.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4254…1d02backed No | 58c | 114.21$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 123 | 63.4%78 W · 45 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 47c | 110.5$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.05 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 379 | 42.5%161 W · 218 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 29c | 92.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…e878backed No | 57c | 91.14$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.56 | 237 | 43%102 W · 135 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked Yes | 57c | 84.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 56c | 81.67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.63 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 53c | 75.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff3…a737backed Yes | 58c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…11a3backed No | 61c | 66.17$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 61c | 66.11$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…9f65backed Yes | 40c | 63.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 558 | 55.2%308 W · 250 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc8…345dbacked Yes | 52c | 57.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 42cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 45c | 56.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 982 | 36.7%360 W · 622 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95f2…99debacked Yes | 39c | 56.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…2250backed No | 60c | 54.61$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed Yes | 41c | 54.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…a737backed No | 61c | 53.57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 226 | 75.7%171 W · 55 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 48c | 53.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5147…f078backed No | 59c | 51.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…b076backed Yes | 25c | 50.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 208 | 35.6%74 W · 134 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 68c | 50.47$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba3…4e15backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 278 | 51.8%144 W · 134 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4e…f93abacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05a…d78fbacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 126 | 70.6%89 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…a66ebacked No | 76c | 49.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 728 | 37.8%275 W · 453 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…0981backed No | 60c | 49.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 146 | 71.2%104 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa22f…af41backed No | 60c | 49.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 36c | 48.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 539 | 25.6%138 W · 401 L | -18.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5499…cf6dbacked Yes | 37c | 45.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 250 | 37.6%94 W · 156 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 44c | 42.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x017c…00c3backed Yes | 41c | 42.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0069…e341backed No | 56c | 40.84$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…4bfcbacked Yes | 53c | 39.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 577 | 47%271 W · 306 L | +40.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 46c | 39.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc52a…e37abacked No | 63c | 39.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 182 | 72%131 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8798…45efbacked Yes | 36c | 38.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7b…bc29backed No | 61c | 38.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 146 | 66.4%97 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda26…8fefbacked Yes | 40c | 36.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9443…7c5dbacked No | 69c | 35.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…2ccdbacked Yes | 57c | 33.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 524 | 44.1%231 W · 293 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b7…8030backed No | 62c | 33.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 125 | 64.8%81 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c1…bec3backed Yes | 43c | 32.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…ac89backed Yes | 59c | 32.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed30…87b1backed No | 59c | 32.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 185 | 49.7%92 W · 93 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 54c | 31.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Yes | 49c | 29.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 402 | 42.5%171 W · 231 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…4e36backed No | 68c | 28.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 197 | 72.6%143 W · 54 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed No | 59c | 25.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 201 | 61.7%124 W · 77 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 62c | 24.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…9160backed No | 56c | 23.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 420 | 49%206 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…d7c5backed No | 49c | 23.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 241 | 49.8%120 W · 121 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…245ebacked No | 62c | 22.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | -8.2wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcb…634fbacked Yes | 65c | 22.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 215 | 47.4%102 W · 113 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 60c | 21.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d6…62a5backed No | 60c | 19.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ad…9a0dbacked Yes | 56c | 19.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 234 | 63.7%149 W · 85 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc12f…5c57backed Yes | 72c | 19.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…283cbacked No | 58c | 18.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on April 23?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be 68°F or higher on April 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on April 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on April 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on April 23?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on April 23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.