Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on April 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4af90c49c25d4e39dff40198b00b8859c197cfcd97bb2add7e0af334339d8329
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,689
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 36c | 1,339$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.02 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x162e…fe52backed No | 52c | 754.17$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.48 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -6.8wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1eea…00c5backed No | 64c | 444.02$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.87 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 30c | 346.9$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.33 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…7465backed Yes | 25c | 320.32$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.6 | 352 | 33%116 W · 236 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 25c | 307.21$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.26 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 26c | 280.48$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.22 | 497 | 50.3%250 W · 247 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked No | 78c | 255.41$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.74 | 613 | 65.3%400 W · 213 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 73c | 238.64$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.21 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 73c | 237.82$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 23c | 234.95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.12 | 539 | 25.6%138 W · 401 L | -18.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…6063backed No | 34c | 221.95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.26 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 43c | 188.27$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.02 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 24c | 168.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.63 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 58c | 160.2$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.31 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 74c | 154.37$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.76 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 39c | 151.47$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.26 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 64c | 149.55$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.05 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 35c | 137.51$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.55 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4da…dfb5backed Yes | 32c | 135.69$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.82 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4179…cceebacked No | 34c | 134.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.48 | 429 | 76.5%328 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe188…197bbacked Yes | 38c | 125.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.11 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed Yes | 24c | 124.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.21 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 67c | 114.75$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.94 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…d0f5backed Yes | 42c | 112.59$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.08 | 721 | 25.5%184 W · 537 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 74c | 108.11$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 32c | 93.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.72 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 31c | 89.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4254…1d02backed No | 62c | 89.87$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.31 | 123 | 63.4%78 W · 45 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 72c | 80.17$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.87 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked No | 62c | 76.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4701…ca83backed No | 65c | 75.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 37c | 72.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…11a3backed No | 77c | 72.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.81 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…9301backed Yes | 43c | 66.05$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.77 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed No | 59c | 65.46$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 379 | 42.5%161 W · 218 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf55f…8e92backed No | 66c | 59.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.13 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 73c | 57.91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.49 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 31c | 55.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 982 | 36.7%360 W · 622 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 66c | 55.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 76c | 53.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.41 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed Yes | 26c | 53.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.21 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 22c | 53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1f…af40backed Yes | 25c | 52.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…e878backed No | 71c | 50.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 237 | 43%102 W · 135 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4e…f93abacked Yes | 27c | 49.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc8…345dbacked Yes | 45c | 48.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.57 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 42cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab8a…8dc7backed Yes | 25c | 48.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 133 | 22.6%30 W · 103 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…a737backed No | 76c | 47.48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 226 | 75.7%171 W · 55 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 76c | 44.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5499…cf6dbacked Yes | 36c | 44.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 250 | 37.6%94 W · 156 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 76c | 44.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…9f65backed No | 30c | 42.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 558 | 55.2%308 W · 250 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…c1b6backed No | 78c | 41.02$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 216 | 76.4%165 W · 51 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…0981backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 146 | 71.2%104 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8798…45efbacked Yes | 36c | 38.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 64c | 37.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b7…8030backed No | 78c | 35.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 125 | 64.8%81 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ad…9a0dbacked Yes | 76c | 34.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 234 | 63.7%149 W · 85 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…109fbacked No | 70c | 32.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e6…aa6cbacked No | 74c | 32.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 119 | 77.3%92 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c1…bec3backed Yes | 33c | 32.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…619abacked No | 66c | 31.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 274 | 64.6%177 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed30…87b1backed No | 62c | 30.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 185 | 49.7%92 W · 93 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc52a…e37abacked No | 78c | 30.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 182 | 72%131 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…3587backed No | 73c | 29.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 273 | 76.6%209 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 76cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 58c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…9160backed No | 66c | 27.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 420 | 49%206 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a99…1838backed No | 76c | 26.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 97 | 70.1%68 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 75cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed No | 75c | 26.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 201 | 61.7%124 W · 77 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcae0…fe76backed No | 78c | 25.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5005…620cbacked No | 78c | 24.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | -6.8wins | -0.12per pick | 73cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd670…1e02backed No | 76c | 24.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 222 | 65.8%146 W · 76 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 68c | 20.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 1,313 | 76.1%999 W · 314 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d6…62a5backed No | 74c | 20.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…2250backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbdf…04ccbacked No | 64c | 19.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dba…5b01backed No | 77c | 19.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2736…fdb9backed No | 77c | 19.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 74cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…245ebacked No | 77c | 17.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | -8.2wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9443…7c5dbacked No | 64c | 16.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a77…50e6backed No | 71c | 15.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9775…b70dbacked No | 77c | 15.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on April 23?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be 68°F or higher on April 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on April 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on April 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on April 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on April 23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.