Tweets · resolved market
Will White House post 140-159 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc574ec4a3fd775905a9f4c92d3981af444fd78ce5e3d8ac7901879fd1e5181c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,246
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,246 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 44c | 2,935$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.15 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 54c | 2,525$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.68 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes | 52c | 1,183$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.52 | 388 | 28.6%111 W · 277 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 26c | 856.26$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.16 | 229 | 26.6%61 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa77c…587ebacked Yes | 71c | 787.16$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 49c | 774.54$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.9 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed No | 47c | 499.98$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 42c | 448.19$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.54 | 2,545 | 13.2%335 W · 2,210 L | +4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ab…e99cbacked Yes | 25c | 420.31$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.05 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8257…da02backed Yes | 57c | 412.95$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.81 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 46c | 322.37$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.16 | 279 | 20.4%57 W · 222 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 32c | 317.26$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.98 | 292 | 25%73 W · 219 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 61c | 312.35$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.6 | 996 | 19.8%197 W · 799 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9955…85afbacked No | 40c | 233.45$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.35 | 183 | 57.9%106 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeab…d961backed Yes | 29c | 206.48$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.7 | 148 | 29.1%43 W · 105 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 47c | 200.47$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 312 | 42.9%134 W · 178 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfab6…36f3backed No | 34c | 200$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 59c | 192.75$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.69 | 264 | 61.7%163 W · 101 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b75…6bb0backed Yes | 53c | 190.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked No | 51c | 189.5$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.59 | 994 | 10.6%105 W · 889 L | -30.0wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7045…0494backed Yes | 39c | 185.38$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.98 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…1f3ebacked No | 49c | 164.38$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.38 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 37c | 158.72$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 270 | 24.4%66 W · 204 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 45c | 133.62$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.79 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 56c | 128.57$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.95 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 24c | 111.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 121 | 14%17 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 45c | 108.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac5b…2979backed No | 75c | 99.63$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +4.9wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x061c…8b9abacked Yes | 53c | 95.3$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.51 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 53c | 94.82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 340 | 39.7%135 W · 205 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed No | 44c | 94.4$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 430 | 27%116 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 15.3%9 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 34c | 79.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 395 | 18.7%74 W · 321 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb5…7588backed No | 54c | 79.3$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.61 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…385bbacked Yes | 49c | 76.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 442 | 27.4%121 W · 321 L | -21.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 50c | 67.51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.98 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc267…850fbacked No | 41c | 66.12$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.01 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed No | 26c | 65.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.55 | 114 | 18.4%21 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.09per pick | 10cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 60c | 62.55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f7…569fbacked Yes | 23c | 60.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x553a…f161backed Yes | 24c | 54.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…6430backed Yes | 51c | 49.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 31c | 47.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | -33.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9e36…1f39backed Yes | 45c | 42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf6…7521backed No | 70c | 39.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 44c | 38.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9443…7c5dbacked Yes | 58c | 38.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…e64fbacked Yes | 51c | 37.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 52c | 36.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +13.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed No | 42c | 32.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa37a…bc60backed Yes | 65c | 29.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf3…3c08backed No | 77c | 29.74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa920…a07abacked No | 48c | 29.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 56c | 28.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…6f63backed Yes | 47c | 26.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x381c…aae8backed Yes | 46c | 25.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…3b45backed Yes | 46c | 22.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 317 | 43.2%137 W · 180 L | +28.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…e8c6backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 132 | 59.8%79 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fb…8b8bbacked Yes | 52c | 19.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3955…c4b8backed Yes | 70c | 16.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 77c | 13.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.07 | 145 | 75.9%110 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will White House post 140-159 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?this page
- Will White House post 100-119 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 120-139 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 160-179 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?Yes won
- Will White House post 180-199 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 200+ posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 80-99 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.