Tweets · resolved market
Will White House post 160-179 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2966c4ac2f2bcde8fd4bbb9bb8e5e553b26833687a341c0db2d1f2018e23838b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,742
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,742 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 32c | 2,379$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.09 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Yes | 57c | 2,080$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.44 | 251 | 27.1%68 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed No | 70c | 2,053$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.18 | 388 | 28.6%111 W · 277 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 63c | 878.92$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.51 | 229 | 26.6%61 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 46c | 610.1$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.67 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed No | 34c | 440.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 26c | 385.44$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.44 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…5db9backed Yes | 22c | 371.7$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +123.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ab…e99cbacked Yes | 32c | 298.19$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.1 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 27c | 293.85$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.61 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…3b45backed Yes | 60c | 250.64$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.11 | 317 | 43.2%137 W · 180 L | +28.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 53c | 206.13$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.54 | 264 | 61.7%163 W · 101 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c3…2e3fbacked No | 72c | 194.4$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.97 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…bddcbacked Yes | 36c | 181.47$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.45 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…1f3ebacked Yes | 66c | 152.33$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.79 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 64c | 151$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.23 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | -33.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes | 22c | 150.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.01 | 427 | 19.2%82 W · 345 L | +23.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8257…da02backed Yes | 34c | 146$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.73 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…a910backed No | 69c | 144.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 336 | 70.2%236 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdadc…c323backed Yes | 14c | 141.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.32 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 44c | 108.84$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.34 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 27c | 86.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.74 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 42c | 84.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.56 | 395 | 18.7%74 W · 321 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…9241backed Yes | 33c | 82.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked No | 75c | 82.11$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.66 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1556…6564backed Yes | 64c | 67.63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 64c | 64.05$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.84 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 74c | 64$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 145 | 75.9%110 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 67c | 63.23$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.38 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 28c | 58.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.83 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 64c | 56.76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.33 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9439…9d6fbacked Yes | 57c | 50.68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac5b…2979backed Yes | 74c | 47.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +4.9wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7849…da97backed Yes | 64c | 45.21$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 341 | 27.3%93 W · 248 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0de…8795backed Yes | 62c | 42.03$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed No | 25c | 40.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4d…6e9dbacked Yes | 64c | 37.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b04…f467backed Yes | 65c | 32.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +13.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…4a50backed No | 73c | 26.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 78c | 26.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 996 | 19.8%197 W · 799 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb5…7588backed No | 77c | 24.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…aa71backed Yes | 64c | 21.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +8.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will White House post 160-179 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?this page
- Will White House post 100-119 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 120-139 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 140-159 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 180-199 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 200+ posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 80-99 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.