Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: CNV (-1.5) vs Citadel Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f3d4538dd36bbdcc472d551e4b39aaac61ff36dc04b74ebd58ac43d52203bab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Convictionof Conviction, Citadel Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,409
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,380
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,409 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Citadel Gaming | 56c | 22,175$12,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,518.04 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44fa…d852backed Conviction | 44c | 5,064$2,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,839.89 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Conviction | 43c | 4,502$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,565.93 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Conviction | 43c | 3,509$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,993.37 | 105 | 21%22 W · 83 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Citadel Gaming | 55c | 2,262$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.55 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Conviction | 42c | 1,765$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.66 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Conviction | 43c | 1,742$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.18 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked Conviction | 44c | 1,699$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.59 | 300 | 35%105 W · 195 L | -21.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Conviction | 43c | 1,472$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.49 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Conviction | 39c | 1,373$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.96 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Citadel Gaming | 50c | 1,186$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.67 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -58%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Conviction | 42c | 1,158$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Citadel Gaming | 57c | 995.12$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.22 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Conviction | 43c | 858.27$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.34 | 271 | 42.4%115 W · 156 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Conviction | 43c | 836.55$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.83 | 376 | 41.8%157 W · 219 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Citadel Gaming | 59c | 832.85$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.56 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…7653backed Conviction | 43c | 827.67$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.98 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Conviction | 50c | 737.2$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.6 | 217 | 53.9%117 W · 100 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Conviction | 44c | 686.14$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.24 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Citadel Gaming | 57c | 678.86$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.95 | 123 | 52%64 W · 59 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed Conviction | 43c | 675.3$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.57 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da3…5a49backed Citadel Gaming | 58c | 672.28$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.92 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed Conviction | 44c | 605.93$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.32 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Conviction | 44c | 595.21$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.87 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Conviction | 49c | 556.1$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.7 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x111f…9bebbacked Conviction | 41c | 537.95$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.39 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Citadel Gaming | 59c | 508.18$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.83 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Conviction | 43c | 453.91$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.92 | 566 | 50%283 W · 283 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Citadel Gaming | 59c | 429$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.11 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba12…6a47backed Conviction | 45c | 411.49$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.73 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Conviction | 42c | 399.99$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.99 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc573…61d1backed Conviction | 49c | 396.04$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.16 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -6.5wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Conviction | 43c | 367.97$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.74 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Citadel Gaming | 60c | 358.8$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.28 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa033…4938backed Conviction | 43c | 352.52$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.93 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Citadel Gaming | 55c | 329.75$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.27 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Conviction | 42c | 318.66$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.51 | 194 | 37.6%73 W · 121 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…d4aebacked Conviction | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.5 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +10.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e08…f3c8backed Conviction | 43c | 297.82$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Conviction | 43c | 282.97$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.5 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Citadel Gaming | 58c | 279.77$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.27 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e4…a1adbacked Citadel Gaming | 56c | 251.21$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.68 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3218…a011backed Citadel Gaming | 57c | 251$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.07 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 49cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d8…c0f2backed Citadel Gaming | 59c | 250$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Citadel Gaming | 59c | 243.85$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.87 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked Conviction | 41c | 241.15$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.28 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Citadel Gaming | 59c | 241$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.19 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…030abacked Citadel Gaming | 59c | 241$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.19 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked Conviction | 44c | 214.54$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.14 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Conviction | 44c | 199.87$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.93 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Citadel Gaming | 59c | 198$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.82 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Citadel Gaming | 59c | 193.43$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.12 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…e6ffbacked Conviction | 43c | 188.33$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.35 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Citadel Gaming | 57c | 188$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.16 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…0236backed Conviction | 41c | 184.24$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…8fe6backed Conviction | 44c | 182.3$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Citadel Gaming | 57c | 174$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.18 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…ca10backed Citadel Gaming | 57c | 157$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.49 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Citadel Gaming | 66c | 154.78$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 388 | 50.8%197 W · 191 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…9a83backed Citadel Gaming | 66c | 149.51$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.68 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Citadel Gaming | 58c | 146$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.68 | 103 | 55.3%57 W · 46 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Citadel Gaming | 59c | 146$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.14 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c8…86b4backed Citadel Gaming | 60c | 141.38$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.83 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6135…efa0backed Conviction | 41c | 140.83$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.09 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Conviction | 41c | 139.42$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.26 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Citadel Gaming | 57c | 137.98$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.65 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Citadel Gaming | 57c | 133$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.81 | 316 | 50.3%159 W · 157 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…39e2backed Citadel Gaming | 58c | 124.2$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.04 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Citadel Gaming | 59c | 123$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.57 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f11…5d87backed Conviction | 44c | 122.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.94 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e58…fb5abacked Citadel Gaming | 58c | 121.85$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.67 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Conviction | 44c | 118.6$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.42 | 242 | 35.5%86 W · 156 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1298…97b6backed Citadel Gaming | 51c | 115.26$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.22 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…e769backed Citadel Gaming | 59c | 104.37$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.58 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 61cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Citadel Gaming | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Citadel Gaming | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 415 | 44.6%185 W · 230 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c06…b98abacked Conviction | 47c | 96.82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.31 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Conviction | 43c | 96.58$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.05 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60d…03a8backed Citadel Gaming | 59c | 92.1$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.63 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…7ca1backed Citadel Gaming | 59c | 91.69$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f6…bab8backed Citadel Gaming | 58c | 88$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Conviction | 43c | 86.92$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.55 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Citadel Gaming | 59c | 86.81$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.22 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…3a77backed Citadel Gaming | 56c | 85.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x776c…8863backed Citadel Gaming | 60c | 81.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc47a…68e6backed Citadel Gaming | 57c | 79.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.48 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ca…3b08backed Citadel Gaming | 59c | 73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.07 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Conviction | 42c | 70$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 369 | 52.3%193 W · 176 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c92…5567backed Citadel Gaming | 59c | 66.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Conviction | 49c | 63.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b1…9645backed Conviction | 48c | 60.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 110 | 50%55 W · 55 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e00…ba80backed Citadel Gaming | 58c | 58.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Citadel Gaming | 59c | 53.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 183 | 59.6%109 W · 74 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…4ce0backed Citadel Gaming | 59c | 52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x928a…4c34backed Conviction | 42c | 51.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Citadel Gaming | 43c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 210 | 54.8%115 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d68…4354backed Conviction | 36c | 49.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…3734backed Conviction | 41c | 48.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Citadel Gaming | 63c | 47.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Conviction | 43c | 46.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: CNV (-1.5) vs Citadel Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Conviction vs Citadel Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular SeasonConviction won
- LoL: Conviction vs Citadel Gaming - Game 1 WinnerConviction won
- LoL: Conviction vs Citadel Gaming - Game 2 WinnerConviction won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.