Lol · resolved market
LoL: Conviction vs Citadel Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5975cebc628b8c3fd8a80550fff1b0a9069fc15cec9055699edafc299ba4fd81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Convictionof Conviction, Citadel Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef26…05babacked Citadel Gaming | 25c | 8,520$2,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,117.98 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Conviction | 78c | 3,917$3,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.16 | 599 | 52.8%316 W · 283 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44fa…d852backed Conviction | 67c | 2,969$1,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.87 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Conviction | 72c | 2,794$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.2 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Citadel Gaming | 31c | 2,620$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.37 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Conviction | 68c | 1,995$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.33 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…4088backed Conviction | 53c | 1,982$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.51 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Conviction | 71c | 1,377$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.78 | 899 | 43.4%390 W · 509 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Citadel Gaming | 33c | 1,313$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.85 | 579 | 47.3%274 W · 305 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Conviction | 65c | 1,213$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.58 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Citadel Gaming | 35c | 1,092$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.76 | 701 | 62.2%436 W · 265 L | -37.3wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Citadel Gaming | 42c | 1,067$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 450 | 41.1%185 W · 265 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Conviction | 67c | 1,037$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.76 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Citadel Gaming | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 105 | 35.2%37 W · 68 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Citadel Gaming | 33c | 999.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Citadel Gaming | 32c | 975.8$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.26 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Citadel Gaming | 35c | 926.19$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.78 | 194 | 37.6%73 W · 121 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1234…c1bbbacked Conviction | 68c | 869.63$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.01 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Citadel Gaming | 6c | 813.44$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 456 | 18.9%86 W · 370 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Citadel Gaming | 29c | 805.22$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.48 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Conviction | 64c | 679.01$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 288 | 27.4%79 W · 209 L | -30.6wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Conviction | 71c | 652.02$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.67 | 631 | 61.2%386 W · 245 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Citadel Gaming | 31c | 623.4$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.25 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Citadel Gaming | 33c | 617.15$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.66 | 123 | 52%64 W · 59 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Conviction | 67c | 560.1$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.37 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Conviction | 76c | 525.82$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.3 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Conviction | 69c | 517.72$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.49 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Citadel Gaming | 34c | 482.12$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.92 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Conviction | 65c | 431.75$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.14 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Conviction | 69c | 430.42$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.43 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed Citadel Gaming | 43c | 424.42$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.52 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…f681backed Citadel Gaming | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 370 | 39.5%146 W · 224 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Conviction | 68c | 399.76$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.76 | 647 | 49.9%323 W · 324 L | -24.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Conviction | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.3 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Conviction | 69c | 299.81$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.94 | 563 | 41%231 W · 332 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf138…c953backed Citadel Gaming | 33c | 293.63$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.96 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Conviction | 69c | 284.46$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.18 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e96…262ebacked Citadel Gaming | 8c | 278.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd7…55f5backed Conviction | 65c | 244$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.4 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Citadel Gaming | 45c | 243.68$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.66 | 392 | 46.4%182 W · 210 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Conviction | 65c | 220.19$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.26 | 271 | 42.4%115 W · 156 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Citadel Gaming | 35c | 204.92$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.72 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Citadel Gaming | 33c | 203.59$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.19 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d07…8b9ebacked Citadel Gaming | 32c | 196.72$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.95 | 440 | 47.5%209 W · 231 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Conviction | 55c | 195.7$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.07 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Conviction | 54c | 179.74$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.49 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Citadel Gaming | 33c | 171.33$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.54 | 103 | 55.3%57 W · 46 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Conviction | 79c | 163.34$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 268 | 44%118 W · 150 L | -37.1wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8c06…b98abacked Conviction | 67c | 146.3$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Conviction | 63c | 143.72$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.53 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Citadel Gaming | 33c | 142.05$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.88 | 316 | 50.3%159 W · 157 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Conviction | 66c | 134.93$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.48 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Conviction | 64c | 129.15$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.49 | 291 | 43.3%126 W · 165 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Citadel Gaming | 33c | 124.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.98 | 415 | 44.6%185 W · 230 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Citadel Gaming | 39c | 123.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7489…7c83backed Conviction | 66c | 120.49$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.97 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Citadel Gaming | 44c | 119.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba12…6a47backed Conviction | 66c | 109.08$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.09 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Citadel Gaming | 32c | 109.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 160 | 43.1%69 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcb…5085backed Conviction | 47c | 102.95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.54 | 236 | 56.8%134 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Citadel Gaming | 30c | 96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | -33.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed Conviction | 64c | 95.88$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb4…9ed0backed Conviction | 52c | 95.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.72 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Citadel Gaming | 33c | 95.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf87…2974backed Citadel Gaming | 55c | 83.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.73 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…527ebacked Conviction | 67c | 80.58$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 625 | 58.7%367 W · 258 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed Conviction | 69c | 71.53$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 506 | 47.2%239 W · 267 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…d735backed Conviction | 30c | 67.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.35 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Citadel Gaming | 17c | 66.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 432 | 33.8%146 W · 286 L | -20.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed Conviction | 72c | 65.71$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 738 | 51.5%380 W · 358 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Citadel Gaming | 36c | 64.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Conviction | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 744 | 62.2%463 W · 281 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ed…5dc7backed Conviction | 63c | 58.67$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Citadel Gaming | 33c | 58.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 183 | 59.6%109 W · 74 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…d068backed Citadel Gaming | 54c | 56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d0…f87ebacked Citadel Gaming | 36c | 53.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 399 | 40.4%161 W · 238 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Citadel Gaming | 47c | 51.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Citadel Gaming | 33c | 49.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 282 | 46.5%131 W · 151 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Conviction | 51c | 47.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Citadel Gaming | 33c | 47.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 742 | 50.5%375 W · 367 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5349…a09dbacked Citadel Gaming | 34c | 47.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 131 | 61.1%80 W · 51 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…987bbacked Citadel Gaming | 34c | 47.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Citadel Gaming | 33c | 46.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…7ac1backed Citadel Gaming | 33c | 45.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb6…ef3abacked Citadel Gaming | 34c | 44.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Citadel Gaming | 41c | 41.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4de2…60acbacked Citadel Gaming | 30c | 41.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x337e…9b4ebacked Conviction | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 325 | 54.8%178 W · 147 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc78a…ea34backed Conviction | 71c | 39.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 440 | 62.7%276 W · 164 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Conviction | 69c | 39.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e6…83a4backed Conviction | 67c | 36.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9176…0468backed Conviction | 68c | 36.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 135 | 69.6%94 W · 41 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Citadel Gaming | 33c | 31.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…08f3backed Citadel Gaming | 33c | 31.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Citadel Gaming | 48c | 31.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Conviction | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Citadel Gaming | 33c | 30.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 153 | 56.9%87 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…2c9bbacked Citadel Gaming | 33c | 30.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…4046backed Conviction | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 113 | 61.9%70 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed Citadel Gaming | 56c | 29.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 187 | 50.8%95 W · 92 L | -15.4wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Conviction vs Citadel Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: CNV (-1.5) vs Citadel Gaming (+1.5)Conviction won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Conviction vs Citadel Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular SeasonConviction won
- LoL: Conviction vs Citadel Gaming - Game 2 WinnerConviction won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.