TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Colombia (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Uzbekistanof Colombia, Uzbekistan
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,303
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,862

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,303 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a8a…cb94backed Colombia1c10,010$101 inLost-$100.5818056.1%101 W · 79 L+14.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Colombia5c6,000$300 inLost-$299.9838526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Colombia4c5,873$232 inLost-$232.24,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Colombia14c5,000$700 inLost-$70025019.6%49 W · 201 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Colombia11c4,117$444 inLost-$44424917.7%44 W · 205 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Colombia6c2,499$150 inLost-$149.9635424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Colombia9c1,051$94 inLost-$94.382,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e89…3e0abacked Colombia10c1,000$100 inLost-$10026716.1%43 W · 224 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa14d…45d1backed Colombia10c895.89$90 inLost-$89.5912724.4%31 W · 96 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-44.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6dd6…c442backed Colombia10c700$70 inLost-$702441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Colombia11c537.88$60 inLost-$6060821.9%133 W · 475 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Colombia12c500$60 inLost-$609741.2%40 W · 57 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd35b…4a53backed Colombia12c499.99$60 inLost-$607915.2%12 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4266…0e08backed Colombia10c400$40 inLost-$40917.7%7 W · 84 L-9.8wins-0.11per pick18cpaid-64.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Colombia10c250$25 inLost-$2545120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Colombia11c227.27$25 inLost-$253067.8%24 W · 282 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-38.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Colombia11c209.09$23 inLost-$2349426.7%132 W · 362 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x848c…2bf0backed Colombia10c203.52$21 inLost-$20.5622122.2%49 W · 172 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16d4…6e9bbacked Colombia11c200.91$22 inLost-$2221128%59 W · 152 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe620…03acbacked Colombia11c200$22 inLost-$2217045.9%78 W · 92 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9759…cb52backed Colombia10c200$20 inLost-$2010013%13 W · 87 L-9.1wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-34.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x208f…b41fbacked Colombia12c166.67$20 inLost-$2011625.9%30 W · 86 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf713…a97bbacked Colombia9c130$12 inLost-$11.76331.7%20 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81ab…f79dbacked Colombia13c121$16 inLost-$15.733030%9 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd38c…371ebacked Colombia10c100$10 inLost-$1020133.8%68 W · 133 L+14.0wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+33.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Colombia11c100$11 inLost-$1148147.8%230 W · 251 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.