TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,169
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,864

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,169 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under67c9,833$6,621 inLost-$6,620.9458049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over33c9,406$3,071 inWon+$6,334.512,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over48c3,000$1,440 inWon+$1,5601,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf34a…710cbacked Under52c1,721$895 inLost-$8952161.9%13 W · 8 L+4.7wins+0.22per pick40cpaid+63.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x85ae…5399backed Under52c800$416 inLost-$4166446.9%30 W · 34 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbd1…553dbacked Under75c417.35$313 inLost-$313.011752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff88…601dbacked Under52c322.4$168 inLost-$167.658062.5%50 W · 30 L+11.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+30%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over29c239.99$69 inWon+$170.581,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under80c159.66$128 inLost-$127.632,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under80c156$125 inLost-$124.82,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88b0…f8d8backed Under71c110$78 inLost-$78.13050%15 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+14.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under57c100$57 inLost-$5780225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over24c92.51$22 inWon+$70.412,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x926d…f416backed Under69c79.61$55 inLost-$54.93540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda2e…8904backed Under52c59.42$31 inLost-$30.92740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0766…77dcbacked Over18c55.72$10 inWon+$45.693221.9%7 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked Over32c50$16 inWon+$3424541.2%101 W · 144 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under63c50$32 inLost-$31.51,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed Under76c39.53$30 inLost-$306654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc89…095cbacked Under64c25$16 inLost-$165639.3%22 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Under68c20$14 inLost-$13.677051.3%395 W · 375 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under77c15$12 inLost-$11.553,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c46…f8dabacked Over80c13.63$11 inWon+$2.732161.9%13 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.