TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Uzbekistan (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Colombiaof Uzbekistan, Colombia
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,546
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,917

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,546 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37ae…1002backed Uzbekistan2c13,274$324 inLost-$32424917.7%44 W · 205 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x514b…5fa9backed Uzbekistan1c8,261$79 inLost-$79.357538.7%29 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Uzbekistan2c7,915$134 inLost-$1343067.8%24 W · 282 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-38.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Uzbekistan2c5,603$135 inLost-$135.051,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78e1…e49abacked Uzbekistan3c3,632$100 inLost-$1008433.3%28 W · 56 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+30.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb7b…bfeebacked Uzbekistan2c3,475$83 inLost-$83.396136.1%22 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Uzbekistan2c2,590$58 inLost-$58.418,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Uzbekistan2c1,935$46 inLost-$45.782,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Uzbekistan2c1,504$33 inLost-$32.6122634.1%77 W · 149 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Uzbekistan1c1,048$13 inLost-$12.581,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Uzbekistan3c777$19 inLost-$19.4351315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292b…697dbacked Uzbekistan2c770.24$17 inLost-$16.9522343.9%98 W · 125 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Uzbekistan2c697.84$16 inLost-$16.051,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0426…7133backed Uzbekistan3c572.11$15 inLost-$15.41330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick18cpaid-0.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5842…5ab8backed Uzbekistan2c526.32$10 inLost-$1018150.8%92 W · 89 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3a1…a667backed Uzbekistan2c510.61$12 inLost-$126523.1%15 W · 50 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick29cpaid+9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b2d…5713backed Uzbekistan2c484.78$11 inLost-$11.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c12…748fbacked Uzbekistan3c468.24$12 inLost-$11.7132422.5%73 W · 251 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid+8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Colombia59c20$12 inWon+$8.234554.2%187 W · 158 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.