TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$229,961
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$241,061

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $229,961 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x94e4…87e0backed Under10c72,768$7,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,318.015523.6%13 W · 42 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under7c7,868$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.1836235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under6c7,438$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.271,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Under1c6,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6034533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Under13c5,655$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.14235.7%15 W · 27 L-5.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-24.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under7c5,255$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.592,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Under1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015929.6%47 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x54a3…9b39backed Under11c4,545$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f4d…09febacked Under7c4,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2802035%7 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63ad…8089backed Under6c3,500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick8cpaid+185.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Under7c3,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21034125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3039933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Under7c3,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21015128.5%43 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Under7c2,857$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019317.1%33 W · 160 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under5c2,209$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.942,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under7c2,153$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.588,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under6c2,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12064443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under6c1,886$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.172,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Under7c1,414$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9914231.7%45 W · 97 L-13.4wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under10c1,388$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.42,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Under9c1,381$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.3826534%90 W · 175 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under9c1,318$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.851514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1de6…d1a3backed Under8c1,252$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-42.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under12c1,185$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.161,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7023440.2%94 W · 140 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b40…a2bcbacked Under6c999.98$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011721.4%25 W · 92 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under5c910$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.22,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under6c857.91$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.471,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under1c750$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021722.1%48 W · 169 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under6c722.88$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.371,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6d5…658bbacked Under7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015336.6%56 W · 97 L+12.2wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+38.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c20…41b3backed Under7c613.78$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6718118.2%33 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Under6c572$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.321,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under6c432.53$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3582348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Under6c430$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.875335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaa0…e78abacked Under10c339.48$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.098950.6%45 W · 44 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ed9…11f0backed Under5c336.67$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184513.3%6 W · 39 L-5.2wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-62%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f31…7a43backed Under9c333.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-40%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf552…4263backed Under7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201540%6 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x831c…ce7dbacked Under7c223.76$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3211044.5%49 W · 61 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under7c214.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1551429.4%151 W · 363 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under7c208.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.631,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f49…231dbacked Under7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14258%2 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick16cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc49a…4fb6backed Under8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-26.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4994…3e36backed Under11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.