TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,973
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,482

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,973 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed Over72c3,000$2,150 inWon+$8501,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d68…4354backed Under27c999.99$270 inLost-$2706253.2%33 W · 29 L+10.5wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+66.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf34a…710cbacked Under29c862.07$250 inLost-$2502161.9%13 W · 8 L+4.7wins+0.22per pick40cpaid+63.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xda2e…8904backed Under36c831$300 inLost-$3002740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under54c808.98$437 inLost-$436.8585851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Under55c727.22$400 inLost-$399.9719545.6%89 W · 106 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under53c678$360 inLost-$360.412,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Over48c622.94$300 inWon+$322.9418742.8%80 W · 107 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Under54c501$271 inLost-$270.5461752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under52c452.61$235 inLost-$235.361,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under52c402$209 inLost-$209.0477845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff88…601dbacked Under29c400$116 inLost-$1168062.5%50 W · 30 L+11.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+30%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3e8e…9665backed Under54c370.37$200 inLost-$20028444.4%126 W · 158 L+1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under54c344$186 inLost-$185.762,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over50c243.29$122 inWon+$120.858,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a0f…e5f4backed Over45c193.44$87 inWon+$106.393447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under56c180$101 inLost-$100.83,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under49c135.2$66 inLost-$66.2558049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94ac…cd94backed Over48c100$48 inWon+$5228544.6%127 W · 158 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under53c66.12$35 inLost-$34.842,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea15…523dbacked Under58c61.12$35 inLost-$35.453948.7%19 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under50c52.73$26 inLost-$26.3753448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d6e…8b2dbacked Over48c52.08$25 inWon+$27.087149.3%35 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under55c50$28 inLost-$27.52,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under54c50$27 inLost-$26.752,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under52c47.5$25 inLost-$24.72,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over35c37.26$13 inWon+$24.222,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30a2…deacbacked Under65c37.26$24 inLost-$24.222748.1%13 W · 14 L-4.7wins-0.17per pick66cpaid-34.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0654…f5a9backed Under54c33.33$18 inLost-$184463.6%28 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c46…f8dabacked Over50c21.42$11 inWon+$10.712161.9%13 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.