TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Colombia (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Uzbekistanof Colombia, Uzbekistan
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$395,567
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$391,905

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $395,567 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Uzbekistan76c70,276$53,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,015.664,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Colombia22c54,521$11,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,763.112,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Colombia28c41,944$11,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,719.2742345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fad…668dbacked Uzbekistan73c19,301$14,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,221.76850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Uzbekistan74c13,792$10,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,608.133,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Colombia26c11,538$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0008135.8%29 W · 52 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe1d…3d76backed Colombia29c10,796$3,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,117.251127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Colombia22c10,382$2,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,324.061,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Uzbekistan74c10,000$7,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.9974447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Colombia25c9,999$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.8526320.5%54 W · 209 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Colombia24c8,231$1,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,977.342,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Colombia1c8,175$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.211,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Colombia23c7,999$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,829.8725019.6%49 W · 201 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfb6…06dabacked Colombia24c7,897$1,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,895.363759.5%22 W · 15 L+6.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+32.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Uzbekistan75c6,888$5,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,726.012,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Colombia25c6,270$1,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,569.262,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc16c…a3aabacked Uzbekistan74c4,095$3,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.665863.8%37 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Uzbekistan74c4,000$2,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0401,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Uzbekistan75c4,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00086452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Colombia23c3,614$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.221,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Colombia17c2,686$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.444,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Colombia26c2,670$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.463,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Colombia23c2,640$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.161,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Uzbekistan79c2,342$1,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.022,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Colombia23c2,174$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Uzbekistan75c2,100$1,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.81,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Colombia26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52035446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Uzbekistan77c2,000$1,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.6764443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Colombia18c2,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.9938526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce37…a2d6backed Colombia21c1,999$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.892334.8%8 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+63.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Uzbekistan73c1,947$1,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.34,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Colombia26c1,692$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.2971638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Colombia19c1,449$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.412,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf81a…719abacked Colombia24c1,412$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.8813623.5%32 W · 104 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb45…0cadbacked Uzbekistan79c1,269$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.078158%47 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbda8…fc16backed Colombia24c1,200$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288238.7%2 W · 21 L-4.0wins-0.17per pick26cpaid-52.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Colombia25c1,174$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.3928025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdca1…fb09backed Colombia4c1,168$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.76624.2%16 W · 50 L+7.5wins+0.11per pick13cpaid+92.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Uzbekistan75c1,080$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.122,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Colombia23c1,044$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.1265737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Uzbekistan77c1,038$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.763151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Uzbekistan78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22016165.8%106 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Colombia29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29013826.1%36 W · 102 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Colombia26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26033149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Colombia29c999.98$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.9920234.2%69 W · 133 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Colombia25c986.68$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.6760821.9%133 W · 475 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Uzbekistan71c986.06$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.0614568.3%99 W · 46 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick66cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Uzbekistan77c968.38$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.621,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed Uzbekistan77c948.8$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.0717568.6%120 W · 55 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick74cpaid-7.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Colombia21c943.97$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.2335424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Colombia24c882$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.961,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Uzbekistan74c834.64$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.661,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ac9…92d3backed Colombia24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022622.1%50 W · 176 L-1.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+48.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1d9…5333backed Uzbekistan74c810.81$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.8110757%61 W · 46 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Uzbekistan76c799.81$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.951,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe960…a960backed Colombia24c785.38$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.492437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62c2…14fabacked Colombia24c779$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f7…1b34backed Colombia25c768$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19222436.6%82 W · 142 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Colombia23c729.89$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.472,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Colombia6c685.67$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1485550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb2d…b308backed Colombia31c670.97$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2082227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56e2…4a79backed Uzbekistan72c637$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.366352.4%33 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick57cpaid+12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5ed…9bb9backed Uzbekistan75c633.21$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.32860.7%17 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Uzbekistan76c620.68$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.0252744.4%234 W · 293 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Uzbekistan72c610$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.811648.3%56 W · 60 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20b4…bfa2backed Colombia25c600$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508235.4%29 W · 53 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95c8…3469backed Colombia26c592.31$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1549733%32 W · 65 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Colombia20c541.65$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.051,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Uzbekistan76c525.34$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.081,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Colombia24c524.14$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.1322634.1%77 W · 149 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0c3…0230backed Colombia29c518.01$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.282937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Colombia8c513.14$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.151,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Colombia17c504.38$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.112,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd35b…4a53backed Colombia24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1207915.2%12 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Uzbekistan77c495.82$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.041,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Colombia18c482$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.621,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Uzbekistan75c422.18$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.5495739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a7a…fdd0backed Colombia24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick36cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb1c…bd78backed Colombia24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014235.2%50 W · 92 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1982…5ed8backed Colombia24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005228.8%15 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc95a…980fbacked Uzbekistan77c413.64$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Colombia8c401.48$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.282,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Uzbekistan77c400$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9267354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Colombia15c400$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6019823.7%47 W · 151 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9837…ad59backed Colombia25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014534.5%50 W · 95 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e68…fcb9backed Colombia20c385.43$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.044761.7%29 W · 18 L+9.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+116.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Uzbekistan74c377.96$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.661,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36de…4735backed Uzbekistan79c353.41$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.222556%14 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Uzbekistan79c345.37$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.991,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Uzbekistan77c337.66$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.6610042%42 W · 58 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb758…dd73backed Colombia31c327.95$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.669631.3%30 W · 66 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Uzbekistan76c319.99$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3292038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Uzbekistan74c313.31$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.21,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Colombia26c311.11$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.421,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Colombia26c290$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.445038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Uzbekistan73c272.18$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.1812558.4%73 W · 52 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e89…af95backed Uzbekistan78c272$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.845341.5%22 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Uzbekistan75c271.32$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.0358942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc057…1e47backed Uzbekistan76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.165362.3%33 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Uzbekistan72c260.19$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.871,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.