TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,706

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,706 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1bdd…23dcbacked Under39c3,770$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,299.9717163.2%108 W · 63 L+18.6wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Over61c2,000$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22076953.4%411 W · 358 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over51c1,222$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.0519648%94 W · 102 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over38c1,140$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.392,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed Under47c1,090$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.7314852%77 W · 71 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Over3c1,089$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6889810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under38c936.98$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.931560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…afa6backed Under56c849.6$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.65853.4%31 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Under46c692.84$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.1514835.1%52 W · 96 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8247…ee42backed Over49c663.95$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.3410960.6%66 W · 43 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed Over61c600$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.9342148.2%203 W · 218 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Over55c597.95$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.221249.1%104 W · 108 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under56c546$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.323,15933.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L-152.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Over60c524.8$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.881,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over41c506.96$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.692,52147.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L-34.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Under65c505$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.3339749.1%195 W · 202 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Over30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15029240.1%117 W · 175 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a70…18f0backed Over63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31517542.3%74 W · 101 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Under37c500$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3161553.3%8 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.22per pick32cpaid+68.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.4495951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0865…81d3backed Under49c499.99$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2563154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked Over61c491.8$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30063458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf95b…0c6fbacked Over57c470$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.116038.8%62 W · 98 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d29…6da9backed Over62c400.82$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.7132752.9%173 W · 154 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Over62c400$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24860053.2%319 W · 281 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under34c367.86$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.791,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9227…e497backed Under36c353.47$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.5214335%50 W · 93 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under70c318.55$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.6950848.4%246 W · 262 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over64c301$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.6426729.2%78 W · 189 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b0c…e795backed Over61c286.78$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.9412259%72 W · 50 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Over61c255.77$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.0282260.9%501 W · 321 L+0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Over54c248.15$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13412441.1%51 W · 73 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0640…1cd6backed Over61c209.89$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.0314935.6%53 W · 96 L-12.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-28%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x92f5…13e5backed Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9623240.5%94 W · 138 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Under35c189.62$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.252,17853.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L+61.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d83…272cbacked Under53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6859341.8%248 W · 345 L-16.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1872…bcabbacked Under59c170.74$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.742733.3%9 W · 18 L-5.7wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-41.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xec7f…1b4ebacked Over61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002045%9 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Over62c160$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.266445.6%303 W · 361 L+14.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ad…c6c1backed Over66c146.65$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.791250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over38c120.36$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.971,60817.5%282 W · 1,326 L-245.3wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x0e31…a06fbacked Under67c108.56$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.371573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6dd6…c442backed Over57c104.52$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605945.8%27 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under55c101$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.761,93135.9%693 W · 1,238 L-98.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x69b7…ae1dbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025764.2%165 W · 92 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42f8…f96fbacked Under68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.72650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-30.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6428559.6%170 W · 115 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x848d…efbebacked Over65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653540%14 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6326940.5%109 W · 160 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90f0…2923backed Over66c89.39$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599338.7%36 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3d0…6fc8backed Over58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503148.4%15 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Under40c80$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481,24134.7%431 W · 810 L-2.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde6e…7fa3backed Over66c77.53$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5128552.6%150 W · 135 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Over48c77.32$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8656317.2%97 W · 466 L-16.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Over69c72.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9964846.5%301 W · 347 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over40c60.96$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3954054.3%293 W · 247 L+26.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd31a…28f5backed Over65c60$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0106…0e63backed Under45c56.09$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0911954.6%65 W · 54 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over63c52.11$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.831,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc31…431cbacked Over58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020171.1%143 W · 58 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Under50c51.52$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.52728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-50.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Over31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.510844.4%48 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb3a…a2aabacked Under37c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.54358.1%25 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+46.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b05…b133backed Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209549.5%47 W · 48 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Under38c49.98$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9953954.7%295 W · 244 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3de…fe0ebacked Over60c49.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.892755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdefe…3f87backed Over60c46.67$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7ec…c264backed Over65c45.38$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.480073.3%586 W · 214 L+45.1wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over62c40.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2559647.7%284 W · 312 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56bd…e58dbacked Under53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.828655.9%160 W · 126 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad06…b132backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52f1…7e14backed Over60c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244443.2%19 W · 25 L-5.6wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-25.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9bc1…cccdbacked Over63c39.74$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258850%44 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf48e…1e01backed Under39c37$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.571492.9%13 W · 1 L+6.5wins+0.46per pick47cpaid+121.9%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over30c34.27$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2542124.7%104 W · 317 L-51.1wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-47%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Over31c34$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5411141.4%46 W · 65 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Under53c33.55$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.76683.3%5 W · 1 L+3.6wins+0.60per pick23cpaid+426%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1f68…4132backed Over61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a93…36babacked Over61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208256.1%46 W · 36 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39d2…c802backed Under53c31.47$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x798e…4df3backed Over37c31.24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.62119%4 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.18per pick37cpaid-67.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf1f6…c3a1backed Over66c30.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Under55c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.537345%168 W · 205 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed Under62c26.31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1063161.2%386 W · 245 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over63c26.06$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4232941%135 W · 194 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93f1…b99dbacked Over61c24.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.816847.1%32 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x777c…8722backed Over61c23.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.12966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb223…3772backed Over61c22.95$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1439445.2%178 W · 216 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over61c22.84$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9386144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb43e…fecfbacked Over61c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.24151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d18…3d29backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1024845.2%112 W · 136 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ba7…6c85backed Over66c18.02$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.892560%15 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc515…b732backed Over64c16$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.243961.5%24 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.