Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46e6df77bcf21de903bf9301361ecf4a15621e411039879c92360f16569203e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,977
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,977 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Under | 72c | 2,920$2,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.6 | 1,097 | 52.3%574 W · 523 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 19c | 1,195$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.11 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 28c | 1,111$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.08 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 71c | 1,053$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.42 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Over | 29c | 958.17$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.87 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Over | 28c | 889.32$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.01 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…b7acbacked Over | 28c | 870.04$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.61 | 324 | 57.7%187 W · 137 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 74c | 679.77$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.67 | 1,181 | 66%780 W · 401 L | +70.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Over | 28c | 340$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 238 | 31.5%75 W · 163 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 31c | 318.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.29 | 1,143 | 30.8%352 W · 791 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 72c | 287$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.36 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Under | 73c | 261.09$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.19 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 70c | 254.15$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.25 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa318…77cfbacked Over | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccd7…f491backed Under | 76c | 248.73$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.7 | 422 | 46.4%196 W · 226 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 70c | 192.4$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.89 | 1,476 | 43.6%643 W · 833 L | -31.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfae…8b06backed Over | 30c | 167.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 16c | 144.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 70c | 132.74$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.82 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 72c | 130.74$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.61 | 1,616 | 43.8%708 W · 908 L | -74.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked Over | 29c | 123.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -9.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked Under | 72c | 105.6$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ba…ce43backed Under | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 27c | 90$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 2,836 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L | -12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 25c | 84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Over | 36c | 82.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 62c | 79.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 1,931 | 35.9%693 W · 1,238 L | -98.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 74c | 77$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Under | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 406 | 45.6%185 W · 221 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Over | 30c | 67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…238bbacked Over | 30c | 63.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 228 | 40.8%93 W · 135 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 24c | 60.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Over | 19c | 54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 476 | 30.7%146 W · 330 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 22c | 50.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 348 | 34.2%119 W · 229 L | -39.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…f3cebacked Over | 31c | 44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 1,730 | 29.5%510 W · 1,220 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 29c | 35.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 1,577 | 48.4%764 W · 813 L | +17.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Over | 29c | 35.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 411 | 56.7%233 W · 178 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3493…40afbacked Under | 80c | 25.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 345 | 65.5%226 W · 119 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 67c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 405 | 43.7%177 W · 228 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed Under | 71c | 20.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 159 | 56%89 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?T1 won
- First Blood in Game 2?Nongshim Red Force won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)T1 won
- LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2T1 won
- LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 WinnerT1 won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.