CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba047d20e27534a01c7c5fa2d425bee4a1c81fe1549c5ef1c11804324fdb3a0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,408
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,204
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,408 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 52c | 1,130$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.77 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over | 44c | 1,024$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.76 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked Under | 55c | 886$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.3 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Under | 53c | 767.13$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.58 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 45c | 617.34$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.54 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Under | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Under | 50c | 294.56$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.28 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 61c | 287.61$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.17 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Over | 46c | 260.87$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.87 | 227 | 51.5%117 W · 110 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 39c | 231.45$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.26 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2141…0effbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 54c | 153.51$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.9 | 395 | 48.6%192 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x713f…2d95backed Over | 46c | 146.07$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.88 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 45c | 141.26$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.69 | 132 | 40.9%54 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 71c | 136.73$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Over | 46c | 115.87$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.57 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Under | 53c | 110.42$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 374 | 53.2%199 W · 175 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Under | 45c | 80.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Under | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 54c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b33…c931backed Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 54c | 65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 54c | 55.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9c…5369backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 187 | 58.3%109 W · 78 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed Under | 54c | 46.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee22…7054backed Over | 46c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…7289backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 54c | 43.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…1fafbacked Under | 67c | 43.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94fe…a16abacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2175…4b33backed Under | 55c | 34.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…1ec0backed Under | 55c | 27.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0932…d6d8backed Over | 72c | 25.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Over | 68c | 19.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Over | 74c | 14.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group StageBetBoom Team won
- Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Team Nemesis - Map 1 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 WinnerBetBoom Team won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BetBoom Team (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5)Team Nemesis won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BetBoom Team (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5)BetBoom Team won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BetBoom Team (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5)Team Nemesis won
- Map Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)Team Nemesis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.