CS2 · resolved market
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe49b2b8f7cd168476bc8d22aca1336ba9bbdea3a4bd2f9132455ef1ab9892705
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,319
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,973
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,319 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58a2…c1c2backed Over | 51c | 980.49$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.49 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Under | 49c | 979.8$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.1 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 54c | 410.8$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.83 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe96f…22a2backed Under | 52c | 410$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Under | 52c | 296.3$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.08 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Over | 46c | 294.93$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.26 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…8cafbacked Over | 54c | 139.96$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.96 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…d422backed Under | 42c | 123.88$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.03 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbe…b6d8backed Over | 58c | 123.88$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.03 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Over | 46c | 115.87$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.57 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Under | 47c | 112$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 374 | 53.2%199 W · 175 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5323…326abacked Over | 51c | 93.39$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31cb…2442backed Under | 47c | 58.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1486…cef3backed Under | 52c | 37.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 49c | 37.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5this page
- Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group StageBetBoom Team won
- Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Team Nemesis - Map 1 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 WinnerBetBoom Team won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BetBoom Team (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5)Team Nemesis won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BetBoom Team (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5)BetBoom Team won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BetBoom Team (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5)Team Nemesis won
- Map Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)Team Nemesis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.