CS2 · resolved market
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BetBoom Team (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00f70e91d2b3de1fdad2ddb80e9793738b80a006faa06b11f045b3ed8eb84ae8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof BetBoom Team, Team Nemesis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,420
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Team Nemesis | 58c | 1,128$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.02 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked BetBoom Team | 42c | 1,053$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.37 | 1,476 | 51.8%765 W · 711 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe159…d987backed BetBoom Team | 38c | 792.15$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.02 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked BetBoom Team | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…0aa4backed BetBoom Team | 37c | 348$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.76 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed BetBoom Team | 37c | 297.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.26 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked BetBoom Team | 43c | 285.52$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 302 | 36.8%111 W · 191 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked Team Nemesis | 57c | 263$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.09 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked BetBoom Team | 38c | 130$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed BetBoom Team | 39c | 79.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 122 | 34.4%42 W · 80 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed BetBoom Team | 40c | 59.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Team Nemesis | 56c | 57.52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…d422backed BetBoom Team | 36c | 52.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…7db2backed BetBoom Team | 42c | 48.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…a16ebacked Team Nemesis | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 485 | 66.2%321 W · 164 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed BetBoom Team | 37c | 37.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 1,828 | 47.6%871 W · 957 L | -54.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1486…cef3backed Team Nemesis | 60c | 23.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BetBoom Team (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group StageBetBoom Team won
- Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Team Nemesis - Map 1 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 WinnerBetBoom Team won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BetBoom Team (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5)BetBoom Team won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BetBoom Team (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5)Team Nemesis won
- Map Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)Team Nemesis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.