TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
EYEBALLERSof Team Nemesis, EYEBALLERS
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,610
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,285

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,610 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x495d…68d8backed Team Nemesis44c13,547$5,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,96517554.9%96 W · 79 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed EYEBALLERS58c9,998$5,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,199.0917737.3%66 W · 111 L-16.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7183…a24abacked EYEBALLERS60c8,337$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,336.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Team Nemesis40c8,212$3,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,284.9936152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked EYEBALLERS62c5,221$3,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,978.952,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked EYEBALLERS44c5,045$2,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,837.083,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed EYEBALLERS59c4,103$2,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,664.894,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Team Nemesis40c2,564$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.925,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb94…243cbacked Team Nemesis52c1,892$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.591942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Team Nemesis59c1,824$1,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075.9726952.8%142 W · 127 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked EYEBALLERS63c1,223$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.81,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked EYEBALLERS58c1,036$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.0723858.4%139 W · 99 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked EYEBALLERS62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38049849.6%247 W · 251 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed Team Nemesis33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33055845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Team Nemesis37c1,000$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36521545.6%98 W · 117 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed EYEBALLERS37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6306134.4%21 W · 40 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked EYEBALLERS60c916.99$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.7917448.3%84 W · 90 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked EYEBALLERS60c888$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.21,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Team Nemesis50c797.86$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.15,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed EYEBALLERS48c731.21$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.231,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Team Nemesis19c699.31$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.251,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1eab…4822backed Team Nemesis42c666.67$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28011551.3%59 W · 56 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed EYEBALLERS59c600$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24868753.9%370 W · 317 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe075…bf89backed Team Nemesis33c578.79$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19117146.2%79 W · 92 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Team Nemesis36c513.89$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18532844.8%147 W · 181 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Team Nemesis48c512.5$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24639157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Team Nemesis36c420.72$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.462,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Team Nemesis42c380.95$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16029839.3%117 W · 181 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Team Nemesis41c331.22$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.82,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Team Nemesis36c310.35$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.786654.5%36 W · 30 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked EYEBALLERS59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12315648.1%75 W · 81 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked EYEBALLERS59c288.14$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.1452837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed EYEBALLERS59c276.14$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.2255039.6%218 W · 332 L-20.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24f5…98d2backed Team Nemesis18c275$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5510844.4%48 W · 60 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb875…ac87backed Team Nemesis38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016949.1%83 W · 86 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc182…1339backed Team Nemesis33c238.33$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.99243.5%40 W · 52 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Team Nemesis42c227.33$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8161338.2%234 W · 379 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c96…f26abacked EYEBALLERS57c220.18$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.274367.4%29 W · 14 L+5.7wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+22.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed EYEBALLERS50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed Team Nemesis41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8276546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x713f…2d95backed Team Nemesis43c163.02$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.12356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+24.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Team Nemesis40c148.79$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.852,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eb9…8d05backed EYEBALLERS59c144.07$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0714653.4%78 W · 68 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed EYEBALLERS61c128.14$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.324054.6%131 W · 109 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked EYEBALLERS57c124$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3234943%150 W · 199 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75c7…fcccbacked Team Nemesis33c119.04$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2820444.1%90 W · 114 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93cf…c08abacked Team Nemesis43c115.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.40per pick52cpaid-81.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xae8e…08f9backed EYEBALLERS59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4137050.5%187 W · 183 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed EYEBALLERS57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4324850.4%125 W · 123 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x786c…dd20backed Team Nemesis40c98.78$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4021942.5%93 W · 126 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed Team Nemesis43c96.87$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6560954%329 W · 280 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked EYEBALLERS59c95.39$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.113759.5%22 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Nemesis39c93.62$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.511,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51da…a701backed EYEBALLERS59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7512157.9%70 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9455…7defbacked EYEBALLERS59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.752552%13 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf655…7f1abacked Team Nemesis36c84.44$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.410146.5%47 W · 54 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Team Nemesis36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030939.2%121 W · 188 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked EYEBALLERS57c77.84$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8339548.6%192 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6efa…a0a7backed Team Nemesis42c70$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.430247%142 W · 160 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked Team Nemesis41c69.75$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.622449.6%111 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Team Nemesis36c69.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530638.9%119 W · 187 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Team Nemesis36c69.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2522037.3%82 W · 138 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8487…c1dbbacked EYEBALLERS62c67.47$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8748052.3%251 W · 229 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cce…4b52backed Team Nemesis33c57.88$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.11947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1233…444abacked Team Nemesis33c57.14$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.862751.9%14 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc73a…ba42backed Team Nemesis42c51.89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7912455.6%69 W · 55 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Team Nemesis38c51.41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4168659.5%408 W · 278 L+65.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed EYEBALLERS60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked EYEBALLERS61c44.98$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6749149.9%245 W · 246 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…e7f0backed Team Nemesis42c44.44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.664845.8%22 W · 26 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf437…ff9bbacked Team Nemesis46c43.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2029052.4%152 W · 138 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Team Nemesis36c41.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1526344.1%116 W · 147 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd7e…8970backed EYEBALLERS63c41.27$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.279453.2%50 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6919…da67backed EYEBALLERS61c40.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9838754.8%212 W · 175 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c45…7069backed EYEBALLERS64c39.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0619667.9%133 W · 63 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick65cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed EYEBALLERS54c38.8$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8536645.4%166 W · 200 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Team Nemesis43c36.9$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8737859.5%225 W · 153 L+1.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeff4…2aa4backed Team Nemesis33c34.72$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.461560%9 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x497e…a18abacked EYEBALLERS59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.96958%40 W · 29 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfce8…2686backed EYEBALLERS59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.923963.2%151 W · 88 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc59f…954ebacked EYEBALLERS59c32.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.221653.2%115 W · 101 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7aa7…afb4backed EYEBALLERS61c31$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1619454.1%105 W · 89 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93dc…3728backed Team Nemesis55c27.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1549947.5%237 W · 262 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Team Nemesis40c27.24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.946555.1%256 W · 209 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked EYEBALLERS66c22.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7218647.3%88 W · 98 L-0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2405…e055backed EYEBALLERS59c18.78$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.715948.4%77 W · 82 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c3e…df5dbacked Team Nemesis61c17$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.37450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Team Nemesis75c16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,27471.5%911 W · 363 L+3.3wins0.00per pick71cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.