CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5efe4bdebc2fbd58ec84341d2ed4a5d5d320e663bf9696b5abd706ef806c49fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 61c | 3,525$2,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.21 | 3,217 | 51.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L | +89.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 26c | 2,373$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.56 | 1,643 | 32.8%539 W · 1,104 L | -48.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 56c | 2,041$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.43 | 2,205 | 47.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 67c | 1,766$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.48 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 532 | 44.9%239 W · 293 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed Over | 45c | 407.32$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.03 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Over | 42c | 285.19$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.41 | 1,476 | 51.8%765 W · 711 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 20c | 276.2$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.52 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Under | 17c | 241$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2141…0effbacked Over | 53c | 235.85$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.85 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x876b…d4a1backed Under | 55c | 231.14$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.12 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 62c | 217.75$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.01 | 1,360 | 66.3%901 W · 459 L | +75.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 55c | 209.01$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.91 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7844…24dfbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Over | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Over | 52c | 190.04$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.67 | 1,062 | 42.2%448 W · 614 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 54c | 183.96$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.34 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 54c | 162.87$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.31 | 590 | 55.3%326 W · 264 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 54c | 162.87$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.31 | 1,998 | 53.7%1,073 W · 925 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 54c | 162.73$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 458 | 54.8%251 W · 207 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 54c | 139.68$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.76 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Over | 50c | 100.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 500 | 50.6%253 W · 247 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 55c | 87.31$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 321 | 58.3%187 W · 134 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 52c | 83.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fe…a16abacked Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x257a…5d9bbacked Over | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 55c | 54.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 504 | 48.8%246 W · 258 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Under | 53c | 52.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 374 | 53.2%199 W · 175 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee22…7054backed Over | 46c | 39.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed Under | 32c | 34.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 194 | 54.1%105 W · 89 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e71…2721backed Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 129 | 58.9%76 W · 53 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb4…59d4backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Over | 45c | 28.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5050…8d5abacked Over | 70c | 17.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group StageTeam Nemesis won
- Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis - Map 1 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 WinnerEYEBALLERS won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-3.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+3.5)EYEBALLERS won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-3.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+3.5)EYEBALLERS won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-3.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+3.5)EYEBALLERS won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)EYEBALLERS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.