TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Istanbul: Sarah Rakotomanga vs Alice Tubello

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alice Tubelloof Sarah Rakotomanga, Alice Tubello
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,829
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,485

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,829 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Alice Tubello61c10,825$6,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,215.99,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ef5…dc05backed Sarah Rakotomanga54c7,793$4,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2144928.6%14 W · 35 L-8.9wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-34.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2a67…d370backed Sarah Rakotomanga49c5,952$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9403839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sarah Rakotomanga30c3,903$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.168,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Alice Tubello59c3,811$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,560.6554345.3%246 W · 297 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked Alice Tubello51c3,080$1,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,504.0827846%128 W · 150 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Sarah Rakotomanga41c2,455$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.644,65048.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed Alice Tubello12c2,250$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,978.6357447.7%274 W · 300 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b52…568ebacked Sarah Rakotomanga72c1,753$1,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26220459.3%121 W · 83 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Alice Tubello74c1,695$1,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.874,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed Sarah Rakotomanga29c1,378$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.629744.3%43 W · 54 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+29.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Sarah Rakotomanga30c1,221$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.5330530.8%94 W · 211 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Sarah Rakotomanga47c1,068$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50079855.9%446 W · 352 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Sarah Rakotomanga52c1,036$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.2866139.3%260 W · 401 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Alice Tubello51c802$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.254,97538.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L-19.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Alice Tubello57c702.22$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.221,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Sarah Rakotomanga23c691.02$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.2511,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6076…f8fdbacked Alice Tubello66c601.58$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.5817744.1%78 W · 99 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cb2…f12fbacked Sarah Rakotomanga74c600$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44436961.8%228 W · 141 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Alice Tubello56c539.65$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.441,88344.8%843 W · 1,040 L+36.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Alice Tubello34c500$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33239941.9%167 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Sarah Rakotomanga5c479.01$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.311,25452.1%653 W · 601 L+45.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Sarah Rakotomanga5c468.3$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.791,17451.9%609 W · 565 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Sarah Rakotomanga5c467.9$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7760355.4%334 W · 269 L+19.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Sarah Rakotomanga40c430.76$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.684,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Sarah Rakotomanga39c408.61$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.985,49848.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L+10.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Sarah Rakotomanga41c391.43$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.1280341.8%336 W · 467 L-20.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x45cf…0f46backed Sarah Rakotomanga3c349.71$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.338721.8%19 W · 68 L-12.5wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-51.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf4d6…8f66backed Alice Tubello62c324.02$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.0218462%114 W · 70 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x25e3…ab76backed Sarah Rakotomanga25c319.68$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.922638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Sarah Rakotomanga44c299.57$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.8150340%201 W · 302 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Alice Tubello62c287.92$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.474,60267.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L+309.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Alice Tubello29c273$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.8169438%264 W · 430 L+21.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Alice Tubello55c223.61$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.621,88145.7%860 W · 1,021 L+51.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Sarah Rakotomanga5c210.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5228348.4%137 W · 146 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Alice Tubello32c197$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.6329039.3%114 W · 176 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Alice Tubello56c178.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.343449.1%213 W · 221 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Alice Tubello35c178$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.8958248.3%281 W · 301 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbecc…f560backed Sarah Rakotomanga25c167.58$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.94341.9%18 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Sarah Rakotomanga23c161$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.484640%338 W · 508 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f9f…2cb8backed Alice Tubello56c160.46$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.615950.3%80 W · 79 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x238d…eb74backed Alice Tubello34c159$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.974332.6%14 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Sarah Rakotomanga14c158.24$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0422113.6%30 W · 191 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Sarah Rakotomanga17c157$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.231,73052.2%903 W · 827 L-8.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8453…76bfbacked Sarah Rakotomanga75c147.68$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.232661.5%16 W · 10 L+5.0wins+0.19per pick42cpaid+33.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Sarah Rakotomanga39c135$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.651,00145.4%454 W · 547 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0856…ecc5backed Sarah Rakotomanga37c131.56$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.923647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x49c5…b169backed Sarah Rakotomanga25c128.91$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.231650%8 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Alice Tubello52c125$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602,27542.7%972 W · 1,303 L+33.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Alice Tubello30c125$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.9525737%95 W · 162 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69c1…da5fbacked Alice Tubello74c119.52$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.651275%9 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+31.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Sarah Rakotomanga34c116.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.86,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Sarah Rakotomanga40c116.35$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5434549.9%172 W · 173 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38c5…0f5cbacked Sarah Rakotomanga16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165137.3%19 W · 32 L-8.4wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-35.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1c67…a479backed Alice Tubello56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4425751.8%133 W · 124 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Alice Tubello54c99.99$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.51,08452.6%570 W · 514 L+31.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47d5…138ebacked Alice Tubello55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.918758.6%51 W · 36 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x963f…4487backed Alice Tubello56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.293773%27 W · 10 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+20.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Alice Tubello57c85$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.552,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Sarah Rakotomanga34c84.63$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.046,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9db…dd44backed Alice Tubello26c83.98$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.478450%42 W · 42 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+7.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sarah Rakotomanga37c78.59$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.083,88435%1,358 W · 2,526 L+92.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa02d…8f5cbacked Alice Tubello79c76.86$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.02450%2 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-37.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Alice Tubello62c76.57$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2263052.4%330 W · 300 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc287…6d47backed Sarah Rakotomanga33c71.9$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5315332%49 W · 104 L-13.3wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Sarah Rakotomanga37c71.19$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6683047%390 W · 440 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfca4…e183backed Alice Tubello48c69.96$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0813040%52 W · 78 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked Alice Tubello46c65.49$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.543951.9%228 W · 211 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Alice Tubello56c64.29$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.291,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Sarah Rakotomanga43c56$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.081,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x167f…fa5ebacked Alice Tubello20c51.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.36456.3%36 W · 28 L+18.4wins+0.29per pick27cpaid+109.2%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x9d76…9045backed Alice Tubello24c51.25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.042152.4%11 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick35cpaid+40.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Alice Tubello34c50$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.29353.8%50 W · 43 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86ff…1d98backed Alice Tubello47c47.15$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.775135.3%18 W · 33 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Sarah Rakotomanga25c45.68$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4233661.3%206 W · 130 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0ac…bd45backed Sarah Rakotomanga39c45.63$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.987222.2%16 W · 56 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked Sarah Rakotomanga46c43.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204461.4%27 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x744b…1fe9backed Alice Tubello50c42.53$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Sarah Rakotomanga46c41.75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2174346.3%344 W · 399 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4350…4bbabacked Alice Tubello79c41.55$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7930672.9%223 W · 83 L+27.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+10.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6de0…ea80backed Sarah Rakotomanga45c39.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.99933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-43.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Alice Tubello77c38.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9627437.2%102 W · 172 L-21.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Alice Tubello56c38.2$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.817,18349.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L+112.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ce8…fc49backed Sarah Rakotomanga42c35.51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.911844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Alice Tubello57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0934957.6%201 W · 148 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5de…88dabacked Alice Tubello53c34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9814156%79 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Sarah Rakotomanga43c33.21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.342,08952.2%1,090 W · 999 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Alice Tubello69c33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.392,13556%1,195 W · 940 L+41.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5bc…79c5backed Sarah Rakotomanga37c30.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.08450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e8e…6461backed Sarah Rakotomanga40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127657.9%44 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ae…f71ebacked Alice Tubello55c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5439039.5%154 W · 236 L-46.8wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-30.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Sarah Rakotomanga60c27.54$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.395,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Sarah Rakotomanga74c27.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c86…0933backed Alice Tubello79c25.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.39366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick75cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd72a…0433backed Alice Tubello57c24.56$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.56450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Alice Tubello56c22.77$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0231563.5%200 W · 115 L+21.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Sarah Rakotomanga44c22.73$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x7353…a4f0backed Alice Tubello56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.854050.4%272 W · 268 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.