CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e4705691906d8d2fa39c1d4274a7c6fb3a93b758f25a341ce82c32213fa2188
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rebels Gamingof Rebels Gaming, HyperSpirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,546
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,546 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Rebels Gaming | 68c | 3,907$2,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.11 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed HyperSpirit | 32c | 2,689$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.13 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…284ebacked HyperSpirit | 39c | 1,306$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.4 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e35…2614backed HyperSpirit | 5c | 960.11$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b14…5022backed Rebels Gaming | 67c | 799.14$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.91 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed HyperSpirit | 32c | 753.72$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.12 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked HyperSpirit | 31c | 749.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Rebels Gaming | 50c | 595.95$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.81 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbba…c191backed HyperSpirit | 32c | 453.24$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.04 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db0…6424backed Rebels Gaming | 53c | 418.72$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.37 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Rebels Gaming | 68c | 415.53$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.97 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…519dbacked HyperSpirit | 64c | 413.23$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.8 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HyperSpirit | 37c | 378.93$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.53 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Rebels Gaming | 70c | 326.28$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.63 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed HyperSpirit | 32c | 321.44$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.86 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…e4c0backed HyperSpirit | 6c | 300$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 383 | 12.8%49 W · 334 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Rebels Gaming | 68c | 295$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed HyperSpirit | 32c | 269.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32d4…42c4backed HyperSpirit | 14c | 252.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked HyperSpirit | 32c | 249.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.59 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed HyperSpirit | 52c | 236.9$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.21 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked Rebels Gaming | 48c | 220.25$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.25 | 330 | 60.9%201 W · 129 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rebels Gaming | 70c | 213.74$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.42 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14d4…c4bfbacked HyperSpirit | 31c | 212.11$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Rebels Gaming | 68c | 205.26$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.68 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Rebels Gaming | 69c | 202.9$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed HyperSpirit | 33c | 197.31$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.41 | 172 | 30.8%53 W · 119 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed HyperSpirit | 30c | 193.31$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Rebels Gaming | 64c | 178.51$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.78 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed HyperSpirit | 33c | 169.14$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 299 | 34.4%103 W · 196 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Rebels Gaming | 54c | 153.18$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.89 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed HyperSpirit | 33c | 148$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 251 | 42.6%107 W · 144 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Rebels Gaming | 39c | 141.03$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.03 | 309 | 51.5%159 W · 150 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HyperSpirit | 53c | 138.06$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.17 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa11…7e23backed HyperSpirit | 34c | 133.05$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Rebels Gaming | 67c | 128.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.05 | 44 | 90.9%40 W · 4 L | +13.5wins | +0.31per pick | 60cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed Rebels Gaming | 55c | 126.44$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.09 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed HyperSpirit | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a6…0a68backed Rebels Gaming | 74c | 107.44$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Rebels Gaming | 69c | 101.42$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 333 | 54.4%181 W · 152 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Rebels Gaming | 67c | 86.25$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed HyperSpirit | 32c | 69.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Rebels Gaming | 75c | 65.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x300a…4c94backed HyperSpirit | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…fe90backed HyperSpirit | 18c | 61.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de0…ea80backed HyperSpirit | 29c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 196 | 55.1%108 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked Rebels Gaming | 76c | 59.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…01e6backed Rebels Gaming | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Rebels Gaming | 45c | 57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Rebels Gaming | 70c | 50.76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d1…ee7abacked HyperSpirit | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 224 | 54.5%122 W · 102 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed HyperSpirit | 31c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 394 | 40.4%159 W · 235 L | +30.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed HyperSpirit | 33c | 48.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…4cc3backed Rebels Gaming | 64c | 48.44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 169 | 58%98 W · 71 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked Rebels Gaming | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed Rebels Gaming | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 115 | 61.7%71 W · 44 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed HyperSpirit | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…9d87backed HyperSpirit | 63c | 35.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 231 | 50.6%117 W · 114 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Rebels Gaming | 57c | 32.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 217 | 39.2%85 W · 132 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked HyperSpirit | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Rebels Gaming | 68c | 30.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Rebels Gaming | 49c | 27.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 226 | 54.9%124 W · 102 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aba…debfbacked Rebels Gaming | 69c | 26.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…9b1ebacked Rebels Gaming | 60c | 23.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Rebels Gaming | 67c | 22.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 655 | 48.9%320 W · 335 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08db…296fbacked Rebels Gaming | 76c | 20.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…8d97backed Rebels Gaming | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 326 | 62%202 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf8…e366backed Rebels Gaming | 67c | 18.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Rebels Gaming | 69c | 17.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe297…e484backed Rebels Gaming | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 322 | 58.7%189 W · 133 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Rebels Gaming | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs HyperSpirit - Map 1 WinnerHyperSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs HyperSpirit - Map 2 WinnerRebels Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.