Tennis · resolved market
Francavilla: Toby Samuel vs Stefanos Sakellaridis
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6477d5645d60bdc7e1c8267a0b142d4f2998c29c5aee3845a38a7ae96451b485
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stefanos Sakellaridisof Toby Samuel, Stefanos Sakellaridis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,474
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,474 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Toby Samuel | 39c | 4,585$1,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,804.51 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Toby Samuel | 54c | 2,910$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.86 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 66c | 2,776$1,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.58 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toby Samuel | 40c | 2,764$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.78 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Toby Samuel | 33c | 2,044$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.07 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 57c | 1,784$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.37 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 31c | 1,264$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.16 | 621 | 40.7%253 W · 368 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Toby Samuel | 61c | 987.24$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.56 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ed…5dc7backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 46c | 961.64$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.29 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Toby Samuel | 25c | 609.65$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.65 | 320 | 31.3%100 W · 220 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 77c | 605$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.25 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Toby Samuel | 18c | 579.45$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.64 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 51c | 497.99$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.19 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Toby Samuel | 48c | 361.99$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.76 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Toby Samuel | 10c | 356.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 34c | 299.55$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.7 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…6cd7backed Toby Samuel | 50c | 297.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 69c | 238.62$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.11 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 46c | 195$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.3 | 345 | 49.9%172 W · 173 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 78c | 193$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 370 | 71.9%266 W · 104 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 46c | 178.36$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.45 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Toby Samuel | 48c | 178$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.63 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 65c | 165$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783f…8f90backed Toby Samuel | 24c | 153.87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 128 | 31.3%40 W · 88 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Toby Samuel | 35c | 153.75$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.88 | 176 | 17%30 W · 146 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 33c | 152$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.84 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 68c | 152$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.46 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 31c | 139.77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.1 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Toby Samuel | 58c | 134.31$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 58c | 129.64$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.88 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 405 | 48.1%195 W · 210 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Toby Samuel | 21c | 108.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 33c | 108$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.36 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 46c | 105.94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.21 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 50c | 100.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.3 | 468 | 48.5%227 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…8181backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 812 | 56.2%456 W · 356 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 67c | 85.48$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 41c | 83.81$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 66c | 73.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 51c | 71.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.12 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Toby Samuel | 33c | 66.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 34c | 66.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6076…f8fdbacked Toby Samuel | 27c | 62.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e35…fe8cbacked Toby Samuel | 49c | 61.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d34…e004backed Toby Samuel | 51c | 59.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 64c | 59.1$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Toby Samuel | 49c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 165 | 29.1%48 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Toby Samuel | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…3458backed Toby Samuel | 30c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 64c | 35.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 67c | 34.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Toby Samuel | 52c | 31.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6de0…ea80backed Toby Samuel | 47c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Toby Samuel | 52c | 29.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5820…b6f6backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 53c | 28.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Toby Samuel | 56c | 27.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 74c | 27.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Toby Samuel | 46c | 27.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 69c | 25.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 45c | 22.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 336 | 55.1%185 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 61c | 21.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 688 | 57.3%394 W · 294 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f66…043bbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 69c | 21.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 62c | 20.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e8…d7b7backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x089f…f599backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…cefbbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Francavilla: Toby Samuel vs Stefanos Sakellaridisthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Samuel vs SakellaridisSakellaridis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.