Premier League · resolved market
Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x906a399eca14815896a4468e476ca426a0bfbf4dc0515ed0dfb1faa652a055d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $219,556
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $228,057
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $219,556 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc408…c1efbacked Under | 49c | 60,000$29,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,399.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Over | 51c | 36,438$18,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,854.62 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Over | 53c | 30,649$16,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,519.21 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Over | 51c | 23,732$12,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,611.18 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +5.7wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…ca90backed Under | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,799.99 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 51c | 9,184$4,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,522.75 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 8,061$3,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,423.24 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 35c | 7,480$2,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,618.71 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 50c | 6,832$3,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,416 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Under | 47c | 6,589$3,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,096.74 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Over | 52c | 6,087$3,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,921.78 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed Under | 49c | 5,086$2,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,491.28 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba2…1650backed Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4520…e501backed Under | 31c | 4,840$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e01…0875backed Under | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.78 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Under | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over | 61c | 2,391$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.1 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 52c | 2,308$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.69 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Under | 48c | 2,090$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 2,023$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.22 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x820a…ca12backed Under | 52c | 2,008$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.06 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 192 | 35.9%69 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 68c | 1,455$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.58 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0651…0711backed Over | 52c | 1,442$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed Under | 38c | 1,353$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 49c | 1,233$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Under | 48c | 1,186$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.28 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 51c | 1,078$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.43 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Under | 48c | 1,023$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 40c | 1,002$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.93 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b75…6bb0backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…745cbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb026…9c7bbacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f2…65dcbacked Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Over | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Over | 62c | 950.81$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.83 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Over | 48c | 872$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Under | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 51c | 743.14$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.14 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 741.59$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.09 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d71…8da4backed Under | 30c | 722.69$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.35 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 50c | 633.55$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.78 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f9…9d91backed Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 50c | 550.69$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.35 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed Under | 18c | 531.44$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.65 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 51c | 505.91$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.03 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 51c | 500$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 232 | 58.2%135 W · 97 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf54c…e6ccbacked Under | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -64%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dde…b8f1backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 48c | 486.14$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.35 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b24…4247backed Over | 52c | 484.54$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.54 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…8e52backed Under | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 52c | 452.96$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.92 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Under | 50c | 444$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 52c | 432.69$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.69 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7902…ef0dbacked Under | 47c | 430$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6672…9ea3backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 399.95$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.84 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…caadbacked Under | 21c | 331.34$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.38 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under | 50c | 310$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 122 | 33.6%41 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…91a0backed Over | 51c | 299.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x844d…780bbacked Under | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Under | 37c | 215.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.52 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Under | 35c | 215.68$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.33 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b57…84ebbacked Under | 42c | 213.68$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…485bbacked Under | 48c | 209.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.38 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 47c | 207.71$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.7 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Under | 49c | 203.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89ec…ed41backed Over | 50c | 202.84$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Over | 60c | 200.78$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.78 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef7c…74ebbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x010f…6c1abacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…1ef3backed Under | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +581.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Over | 51c | 186.27$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.27 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +5.8wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…12ddbacked Over | 60c | 175.11$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Under | 48c | 157.9$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.79 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +10.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 48c | 157.42$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.92 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Over | 62c | 156.68$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf282…1637backed Over | 51c | 154.9$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 48c | 146.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.97 | 335 | 51.3%172 W · 163 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Over | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 53c | 142.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.86 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6b…ca1bbacked Over | 52c | 135.78$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.78 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 63c | 133.85$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.61 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 53c | 131.92$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.36 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd28…dbf0backed Under | 50c | 130$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.