TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,998
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,172

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,998 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x684c…93dfbacked Yes47c10,831$5,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,090.7837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-25.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No53c5,797$3,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,72685048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No57c3,317$1,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.276,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No52c2,149$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.3213348.9%65 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007440.5%30 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes23c1,640$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.594,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No60c980$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39228456.7%161 W · 123 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes34c970.13$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.7961143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No55c791.62$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.623161.3%19 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0651…0711backed No62c737.1$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.1560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff67…a1c9backed No53c636.04$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.51233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-37.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed No54c574.14$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.729246.7%43 W · 49 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No52c479.99$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.391,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No52c479.97$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.3996443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes39c462.05$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18019244.3%85 W · 107 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b09…13d3backed Yes47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11213721.2%29 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No53c377.34$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3554340.5%220 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes48c354.17$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17030050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb8a…45aabacked No62c320.97$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.97850%4 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc37…bac6backed Yes38c320$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.61957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65af…df77backed No63c318.05$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.052356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b99…4b3abacked Yes48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14425532.9%84 W · 171 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeea8…0412backed Yes52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1562450%12 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No53c282.94$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.9841850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No58c277.99$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1181,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c1d…7f00backed No72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick70cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Yes29c272.65$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7611125.2%28 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-24.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No52c254.17$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12227752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59aa…3376backed No53c241.51$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.514835.4%17 W · 31 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Yes48c229.17$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11011229.5%33 W · 79 L-9.8wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-25.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb4c…ad1bbacked Yes44c214.5$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdeb…0b10backed No48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.33966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1732…1c15backed Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4cd…a98dbacked Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5db…f982backed Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012741.7%53 W · 74 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9455751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe58b…d323backed No61c199.99$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.991850%9 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc408…c1efbacked Yes39c190.35$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-39.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88ff…5102backed Yes48c187.5$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905330.2%16 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes48c185.02$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.8116233.3%54 W · 108 L-14.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked No55c182.02$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.0212652.4%66 W · 60 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd323…c53fbacked No54c181.48$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.482100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+58.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No52c156.91$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.369851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2256…e997backed Yes39c153.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602532%8 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd28…dbf0backed No55c147$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.151758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No53c140.99$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.361,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No52c138.85$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6535941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes45c130.38$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.782,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50d3…bad4backed No80c125.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick72cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No52c116.66$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5680953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b9…6811backed No63c114.62$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.41540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-41.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39d…a5e9backed Yes53c113.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602360.9%14 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3216…0cc7backed Yes47c106.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.292133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14b5…a393backed Yes48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b6c…2acbbacked No54c101.85$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.851145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No67c100.93$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.971,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0278…9c8dbacked No55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick42cpaid+7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick26cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No52c99.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9912562.4%78 W · 47 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ce2…7e4cbacked No53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3411636.2%42 W · 74 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked No54c90.74$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.742941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf693…995ebacked No55c90$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.71833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7838…3e84backed Yes48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb7…02d8backed Yes43c80.87$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351414.3%2 W · 12 L-4.6wins-0.33per pick47cpaid-68.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x83f6…62f8backed No62c78.46$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.954360.5%26 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes44c69.57$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.961,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f26…8984backed No52c65$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.22763%17 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Yes47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304852.1%25 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f48…f8c8backed Yes29c62.07$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08be…bea8backed No75c61.67$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.673450%17 W · 17 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa936…3b90backed Yes40c61$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1410554.3%57 W · 48 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa295…98bcbacked Yes48c60.42$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295664.3%36 W · 20 L+5.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+20.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked No53c56.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7611248.2%54 W · 58 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No53c54.96$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8339555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No69c54.74$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0815858.2%92 W · 66 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a3e…e5c3backed Yes46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfcf…5cb5backed Yes47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254037.5%15 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205050%25 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5d6…8267backed No60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+27.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed No52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245846.6%27 W · 31 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa596…15e9backed Yes53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252045%9 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Yes47c46.37$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.81957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c8f…6463backed No66c43.73$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.732100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+147.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Yes47c41.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6916454.9%90 W · 74 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64a7…2133backed Yes48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204032.5%13 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9982…8b06backed No54c41.01$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.861154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick69cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3110…c3f5backed No49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.829262%57 W · 35 L+7.8wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd104…7c02backed No63c39.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.683033.3%10 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-34.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf341…9bd8backed No56c39.55$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.552944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfef3…41f2backed No77c38.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.961877.8%14 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb684…343cbacked No53c38.82$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.254965.3%32 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6ee3…a899backed No54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.041838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-33.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3fa6…e929backed No54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.044337.2%16 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d46…ab13backed Yes41c36.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b5f…2f5ebacked No73c33.58$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.212962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154637%17 W · 29 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab35…118dbacked No62c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.551855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked No53c28.51$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.411265.2%73 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.