Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedb11890b62410a25f9c53e4d2eb323596a16a69ce87070c5d05008d389afb7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Movistar KOIof Karmine Corp, Movistar KOI
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,770
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,770 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40ea…832fbacked Karmine Corp | 35c | 3,551$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.38 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Movistar KOI | 64c | 2,287$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.15 | 445 | 50.1%223 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Karmine Corp | 53c | 2,011$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.27 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Karmine Corp | 51c | 1,551$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.36 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Karmine Corp | 35c | 943.92$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.23 | 417 | 43.9%183 W · 234 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Movistar KOI | 64c | 817.59$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.11 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Movistar KOI | 58c | 657.17$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.28 | 376 | 41.8%157 W · 219 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…d737backed Karmine Corp | 58c | 432.72$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.98 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked Karmine Corp | 37c | 403.32$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 440 | 46.4%204 W · 236 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa668…f0f1backed Karmine Corp | 36c | 283.75$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.15 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab7…d144backed Movistar KOI | 69c | 234.31$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.92 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6d…804bbacked Movistar KOI | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Karmine Corp | 35c | 218$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.18 | 331 | 39.9%132 W · 199 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Movistar KOI | 71c | 212.73$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.07 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Karmine Corp | 31c | 205.81$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Movistar KOI | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Movistar KOI | 68c | 177.98$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.95 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Movistar KOI | 64c | 156$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Movistar KOI | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 187 | 52.4%98 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…fb3dbacked Movistar KOI | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 99 | 66.7%66 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…c9bebacked Movistar KOI | 68c | 147.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeef…cd8abacked Karmine Corp | 43c | 126.12$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Movistar KOI | 52c | 100.52$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…3e0bbacked Movistar KOI | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 636 | 46.9%298 W · 338 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Movistar KOI | 60c | 85.32$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 484 | 48.6%235 W · 249 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Movistar KOI | 77c | 74.31$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc420…2badbacked Movistar KOI | 68c | 73.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 221 | 47.1%104 W · 117 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Movistar KOI | 72c | 71.84$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffbf…1184backed Karmine Corp | 48c | 61.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 287 | 59.9%172 W · 115 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…e9d8backed Movistar KOI | 51c | 57.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 200 | 57%114 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…6f4ebacked Karmine Corp | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 244 | 53.3%130 W · 114 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x778a…7a2abacked Karmine Corp | 51c | 53.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69b7…ae1dbacked Movistar KOI | 66c | 53.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 257 | 64.2%165 W · 92 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f7…bda0backed Karmine Corp | 36c | 52.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 36cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Movistar KOI | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12dc…9832backed Karmine Corp | 36c | 48.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b4…2ce6backed Movistar KOI | 66c | 40.76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6de0…ea80backed Movistar KOI | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4651…be66backed Movistar KOI | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…836dbacked Karmine Corp | 37c | 38.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…40b0backed Movistar KOI | 63c | 31.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 170 | 60.6%103 W · 67 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Karmine Corp | 42c | 30.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Karmine Corp | 39c | 28.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…8dcfbacked Movistar KOI | 50c | 27.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.7wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Movistar KOI | 64c | 24.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 182 | 63.7%116 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Movistar KOI | 65c | 24.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…e369backed Movistar KOI | 67c | 16.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 WinnerMovistar KOI won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.