Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ffdee50009de3199fb71dbee6b41da7813664ac3bf5f9643e4695ed0cf54766
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,934
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 53c | 999.98$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.99 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 47c | 649.94$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.47 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df4…2680backed Over | 46c | 637$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.98 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 54c | 524.92$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.46 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 53c | 516.31$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.65 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…d292backed Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 52c | 416.67$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.67 | 329 | 41%135 W · 194 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 52c | 339.76$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.68 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Over | 48c | 229.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.59 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Over | 46c | 220$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 417 | 43.9%183 W · 234 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 46c | 160$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…831dbacked Over | 47c | 149.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.49 | 187 | 57.2%107 W · 80 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Under | 54c | 147.88$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.86 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Over | 57c | 118.4$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…d790backed Over | 46c | 112.8$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf99…74babacked Over | 46c | 94.17$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 46c | 87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 44c | 77.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…bbb2backed Over | 47c | 76.43$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.51 | 321 | 42.1%135 W · 186 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Over | 45c | 73.4$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.37 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Over | 47c | 71.19$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 480 | 42.3%203 W · 277 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 46c | 66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Over | 47c | 56.08$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.63 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Under | 55c | 54.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 251 | 54.2%136 W · 115 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4651…be66backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4967…4292backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Over | 49c | 38.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 312 | 44.6%139 W · 173 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 573 | 49.4%283 W · 290 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 45c | 25.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)Movistar KOI won
- LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 WinnerMovistar KOI won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.