Tennis · resolved market
Francavilla: Felix Gill vs Zdenek Kolar
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0789a9e87d770e43de40da989e0b4fa04919431e29262f0b17fbd4c7ad6d5e39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zdenek Kolarof Felix Gill, Zdenek Kolar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,605
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Felix Gill | 38c | 7,741$2,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,944.4 | 543 | 45.3%246 W · 297 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Zdenek Kolar | 62c | 4,478$2,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.71 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Felix Gill | 28c | 3,572$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.15 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Felix Gill | 12c | 2,378$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.82 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Zdenek Kolar | 68c | 1,687$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.16 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Zdenek Kolar | 71c | 1,156$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.43 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Zdenek Kolar | 52c | 1,147$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.75 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…13b5backed Zdenek Kolar | 51c | 1,095$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.87 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Felix Gill | 49c | 1,068$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.26 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Zdenek Kolar | 66c | 844.82$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.25 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Felix Gill | 11c | 623.04$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.88 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Zdenek Kolar | 52c | 555$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.4 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Zdenek Kolar | 62c | 525$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.75 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…7ddfbacked Zdenek Kolar | 50c | 401.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.51 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Zdenek Kolar | 51c | 362.58$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.31 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Zdenek Kolar | 62c | 344$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.72 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Felix Gill | 30c | 331.09$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.86 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Zdenek Kolar | 78c | 312$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.64 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Zdenek Kolar | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 423 | 32.4%137 W · 286 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Zdenek Kolar | 68c | 245.73$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.82 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Zdenek Kolar | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 193 | 49.7%96 W · 97 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Zdenek Kolar | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 325 | 54.2%176 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Felix Gill | 51c | 171.8$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.01 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Felix Gill | 51c | 169.14$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.26 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Felix Gill | 42c | 164.85$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.83 | 661 | 39.3%260 W · 401 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Zdenek Kolar | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Felix Gill | 12c | 128.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Felix Gill | 50c | 125$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Zdenek Kolar | 66c | 100.37$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b2…0f1ebacked Felix Gill | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Felix Gill | 51c | 99.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Felix Gill | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 594 | 40.2%239 W · 355 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Zdenek Kolar | 51c | 67.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.52 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Zdenek Kolar | 49c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Felix Gill | 32c | 60.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | -74.2wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Felix Gill | 43c | 59.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Felix Gill | 55c | 54.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Zdenek Kolar | 49c | 54.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Felix Gill | 22c | 50.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 405 | 48.1%195 W · 210 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Felix Gill | 36c | 50.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Zdenek Kolar | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Felix Gill | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 165 | 29.1%48 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Zdenek Kolar | 46c | 49.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Zdenek Kolar | 70c | 47.22$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…cebfbacked Zdenek Kolar | 74c | 46.72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 671 | 78.7%528 W · 143 L | +49.1wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x783f…8f90backed Felix Gill | 22c | 44.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 128 | 31.3%40 W · 88 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Felix Gill | 32c | 43.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Zdenek Kolar | 75c | 42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762b…76d4backed Felix Gill | 33c | 41.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Zdenek Kolar | 60c | 37.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Felix Gill | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a28…1813backed Felix Gill | 42c | 28.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed Zdenek Kolar | 58c | 28.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Zdenek Kolar | 60c | 27.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Zdenek Kolar | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Zdenek Kolar | 48c | 27.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed Zdenek Kolar | 48c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 248 | 37.5%93 W · 155 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Felix Gill | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6de0…ea80backed Zdenek Kolar | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Felix Gill | 51c | 21.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 362 | 44.8%162 W · 200 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.