Premier League · resolved market
Middlesbrough FC vs. Southampton FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce52fa40425b70c47b30dea0fc811ab87ef677e9d4ddf5242c6d7537677b4efe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 10,901$6,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,045.02 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 36c | 10,716$3,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,873.7 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Yes | 58c | 1,014$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 43c | 690.82$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.08 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 64c | 652.47$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.58 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 44c | 631.38$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.37 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 44c | 323$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.88 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 40c | 294.91$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.93 | 114 | 30.7%35 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c2…4261backed Yes | 57c | 248.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.92 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 65c | 224.38$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.46 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 43c | 218.94$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.62 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a10…7843backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 19c | 132.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 42c | 109.66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 44c | 108.69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.87 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Yes | 54c | 92.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 44c | 65.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 48c | 54.36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd666…ae19backed Yes | 53c | 50.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3350…9588backed Yes | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed No | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x289a…23b9backed Yes | 42c | 45.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes | 47c | 42.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 45c | 39.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…7f6cbacked No | 70c | 38.77$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…82b5backed Yes | 53c | 37.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…c5bdbacked No | 44c | 35.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de0…ea80backed No | 43c | 34.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked No | 51c | 32.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Yes | 57c | 29.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 73c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 66c | 22.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff7…b686backed No | 59c | 20.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.35per pick | 47cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 59c | 19.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Southampton FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 0.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)Southampton FC won
- Spread: Southampton FC (-1.5)Middlesbrough FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.