Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x994a6b1b19422236926e272ee12f35a6be06057a4be0e85845619ab51c68d665
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Southampton FCof Middlesbrough FC, Southampton FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,156
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,969
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,156 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Southampton FC | 77c | 1,777$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.62 | 6,217 | 45.6%2,834 W · 3,383 L | -33.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Middlesbrough FC | 19c | 872.78$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.2 | 1,012 | 36%364 W · 648 L | -20.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Middlesbrough FC | 27c | 737.62$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.16 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Middlesbrough FC | 17c | 598.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.85 | 114 | 30.7%35 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Middlesbrough FC | 26c | 276.92$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Middlesbrough FC | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 306 | 24.5%75 W · 231 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c48…1c17backed Southampton FC | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 72cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Southampton FC | 76c | 124.49$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.49 | 762 | 41.9%319 W · 443 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Southampton FC | 76c | 51.07$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 2,606 | 47.7%1,242 W · 1,364 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Southampton FC | 74c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 752 | 44.8%337 W · 415 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Southampton FC | 75c | 13.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)this page
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Southampton FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 0.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Southampton FC (-1.5)Middlesbrough FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.