TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Middlesbrough FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,803
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,824

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,803 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfd29…77aebacked Over52c31,378$16,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,270.381241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under47c11,500$5,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,069.9935652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under48c7,683$3,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,976.172,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over53c5,660$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00020545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under49c4,245$2,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,175.3340655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c3,442$1,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,595.276,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under59c3,417$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,416.545954.2%32 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over53c2,137$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.763033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe02…dababacked Under50c1,966$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.221866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+37.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under50c1,804$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90216753.3%89 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under48c1,600$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83214652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7503655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under48c1,200$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62413155%72 W · 59 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under48c1,048$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.5935941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c999.98$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.991,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Over52c865.38$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4507847.4%37 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under48c787.07$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.6580953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under48c660.05$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.231,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under50c637.7$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.691952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over50c625.65$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.8313353.4%71 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over33c608.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73c2…4261backed Over52c580$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.61225%3 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-5.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc385…8eb0backed Over52c552.04$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.874247.6%20 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over45c526.54$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.791,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over21c500$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1045922%13 W · 46 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under49c468.97$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.9859247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under47c455$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.1527752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc740…217ebacked Over45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002035%7 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c0a…cbc9backed Over53c430.19$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2286142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under49c405.66$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.869851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2047550.7%38 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2087959.5%47 W · 32 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd52c…6c59backed Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2004727.7%13 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-31.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under48c304$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.771,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0aa8…ea63backed Over53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15614459%85 W · 59 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under48c280.96$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.117062.4%106 W · 64 L+13.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under48c240$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.812757.5%73 W · 54 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under48c240$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.813855.1%76 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Under55c216.44$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.46743.3%29 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under56c213.02$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.8274644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005837.9%22 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over50c206$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1031,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9259645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10414355.9%80 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x505a…bb61backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.9wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+39.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10412157%69 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under48c161.46$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.969154.9%50 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Under54c148.15$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.152941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under48c140$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.814658.2%85 W · 61 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under48c140$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.813858.7%81 W · 57 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d9a…c3acbacked Under48c125$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over50c125$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.153161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under50c108.69$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.351,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Under48c104.4$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.297850%39 W · 39 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x95e4…5134backed Under48c103.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.034637%17 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-28%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over46c96.81$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5359445.5%270 W · 324 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Under49c92$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9211430.7%35 W · 79 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Over53c91.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.269254.3%50 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Under48c87.13$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2415046%69 W · 81 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa90…1897backed Over52c86.54$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over39c82.79$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4588635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011053.6%59 W · 51 L+11.1wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+17.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under51c72.71$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6316053.1%85 W · 75 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Under47c70$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.17853.8%42 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over41c69$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2972142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under48c63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7611248.2%54 W · 58 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.212558.4%73 W · 52 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fad…fdc0backed Over24c58.46$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.855018%9 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick18cpaid+127.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe76c…1c3cbacked Over52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013256.1%74 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Under48c53.59$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7911250.9%57 W · 55 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Over53c52.3$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.729061.1%55 W · 35 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+18.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe626…92b5backed Under54c51.85$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.854740.4%19 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020336.9%75 W · 128 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x361f…5edabacked Under49c51.24$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.132030%6 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-48.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x98ee…31cabacked Over46c46.34$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.32425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c26…c2d0backed Over53c37.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209265.2%60 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020259.9%121 W · 81 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f46…1db8backed Under47c36.17$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.172825%7 W · 21 L-5.7wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-39.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6cb1…1002backed Under50c33.69$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.852250%11 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Over53c31.25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.562955.2%16 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under48c31.17$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2110257.8%59 W · 43 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.656158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x41d8…7233backed Under50c29.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.562365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+28.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a38…d420backed Under48c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133669.4%25 W · 11 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+28.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Under48c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133161.3%19 W · 12 L+5.5wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+44.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under48c24.48$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.735259.6%31 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe953…7be7backed Over51c24.39$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa81…aaf7backed Under50c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under48c21.44$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0822146.2%102 W · 119 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under55c20.36$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.164852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over51c20.29$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3519133%63 W · 128 L-13.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d9e…f53abacked Over50c20.2$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+21.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf689…3e3fbacked Under77c14.49$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.333737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.