Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: WB (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x541fbd729555ca3fe1ac9e54a2bd7b9540e522d8d904d0a7e15052eee2e73356
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Weibo Gamingof Weibo Gaming, Ninjas in Pyjamas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,701
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,701 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40ea…832fbacked Weibo Gaming | 29c | 13,709$3,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,744.45 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed6…ec56backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 70c | 7,103$4,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,971.96 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 72c | 6,325$4,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,532.01 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Weibo Gaming | 27c | 3,333$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,433.09 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Weibo Gaming | 26c | 1,640$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.59 | 443 | 35.4%157 W · 286 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 75c | 603.06$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.16 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Weibo Gaming | 24c | 512.04$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.11 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f6…b0f2backed Weibo Gaming | 51c | 299.96$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.98 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 44c | 180.07$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.23 | 488 | 44.3%216 W · 272 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2068…e0e7backed Weibo Gaming | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 76c | 122.23$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.51 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 54c | 101.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 41c | 93.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Weibo Gaming | 54c | 93.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 61c | 90.2$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc99e…74abbacked Weibo Gaming | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 74c | 70$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Weibo Gaming | 36c | 63.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Weibo Gaming | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Weibo Gaming | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6de0…ea80backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Weibo Gaming | 37c | 30.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 35c | 30.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x981f…b63fbacked Weibo Gaming | 54c | 29.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 70c | 26.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 75c | 22.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 75c | 19.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 411 | 56.7%233 W · 178 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 75c | 18.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 357 | 55.7%199 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…772abacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 70c | 14.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: WB (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group AscendWeibo Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 WinnerWeibo Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 WinnerWeibo Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.