Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x549e959b30f427676dbd99f13e2e39ff6c9c927535578fb1fcd1154fc6955cf7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,843
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,843 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 47c | 661.15$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.74 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 51c | 499.87$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.94 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Over | 47c | 402$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.94 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 47c | 402$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.94 | 329 | 41%135 W · 194 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8756…3c83backed Under | 50c | 400.3$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.02 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1334…4ce4backed Under | 53c | 364.15$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa318…77cfbacked Under | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Over | 13c | 232$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 253 | 31.2%79 W · 174 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 53c | 196.71$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.57 | 1,181 | 66%780 W · 401 L | +70.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 49c | 191.96$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.56 | 1,616 | 43.8%708 W · 908 L | -74.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Over | 47c | 181.42$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.45 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 46c | 128.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.54 | 1,143 | 30.8%352 W · 791 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Over | 49c | 101.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…306fbacked Under | 51c | 99.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 195 | 61.5%120 W · 75 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc20…8c98backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…52fbbacked Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Over | 24c | 81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Over | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Over | 58c | 63.84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 29c | 59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 2,707 | 35.9%972 W · 1,735 L | -152.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Over | 53c | 54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 421 | 24.7%104 W · 317 L | -51.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -47%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x56bd…e58dbacked Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 286 | 55.9%160 W · 126 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Over | 47c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 46c | 38.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 29c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 411 | 41.6%171 W · 240 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…767cbacked Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 101 | 40.6%41 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: WB (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5)Weibo Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group AscendWeibo Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 WinnerWeibo Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 WinnerWeibo Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.