TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$122,263
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$133,440

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,263 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfd29…77aebacked Yes43c79,807$34,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,573.891241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No56c23,446$13,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,292.6613353.4%71 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No56c9,448$5,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,136.142,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc4…1f41backed No64c6,423$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,323.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed No56c4,976$2,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,186.749061.1%55 W · 35 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+18.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No58c4,000$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,68014652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf88f…c334backed No56c3,971$2,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,756.88580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+33.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,26013155%72 W · 59 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No58c1,750$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73515255.9%85 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No56c1,674$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.251,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes65c1,580$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0242951.7%15 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No56c1,570$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.0584549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No56c1,500$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65514553.1%77 W · 68 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No58c1,500$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63014158.2%82 W · 59 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No56c1,411$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.9840655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No64c1,400$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.1120059.5%119 W · 81 L-0.9wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed No56c1,339$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.294845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No56c1,307$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.0559247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No71c1,240$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.67851.3%40 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked No37c1,168$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.1534628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4208065%52 W · 28 L+10.3wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4207959.5%47 W · 32 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes36c924.88$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.512,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x660d…56acbacked Yes40c887.13$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.6311146.8%52 W · 59 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes35c863.41$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.484,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked No62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.4510950.5%55 W · 54 L+11.5wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No35c805.41$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.9276842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No58c650$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27317062.4%106 W · 64 L+13.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No58c650$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27314459%85 W · 59 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No57c561.06$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.1480953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No63c552.51$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.416,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No57c526.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.316142.6%26 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes18c511.43$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7520956%117 W · 92 L+15.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18026319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21012157%69 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No68c456.4$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.511,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes44c453.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.77742.9%33 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No58c450$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18914355.9%80 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes44c404.52$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.9954340.5%220 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No58c400$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16814354.5%78 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No58c400$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16812757.5%73 W · 54 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No58c400$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16813855.1%76 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47d1…7618backed No61c393.44$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.441275%9 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e02…5ddabacked No38c393.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.161850%9 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No57c378.09$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.589154.9%50 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No57c350.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.877048.6%34 W · 36 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No59c329.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.3674644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12617959.8%107 W · 72 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12618156.4%102 W · 79 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12616858.3%98 W · 70 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No58c292$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.647361.6%45 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed No70c285.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.662962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe891…4b25backed No50c281.62$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.623557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed No57c281.57$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.084447.7%21 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed No56c270.62$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.074957.1%28 W · 21 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+24.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No56c262$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.281,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes30c258.93$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.9416232.1%52 W · 110 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+19.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No56c254$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.7129250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No58c250$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10514658.2%85 W · 61 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No58c250$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10513858.7%81 W · 57 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6927…21adbacked No61c245.9$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.9683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d77…bc86backed No61c245.9$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.91776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No53c239.99$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.851847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed No56c232.14$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.149955.6%55 W · 44 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9183…59f0backed Yes39c225$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877055.7%39 W · 31 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No56c223$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.1296443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No56c223$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.121,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No57c222.97$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.9735941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6e3…3fe8backed No60c220$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885335.8%19 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes39c205$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9528824.7%71 W · 217 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb002…103dbacked No56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+29.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8410960.6%66 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.610252%53 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No57c192.86$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.9369851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No57c190$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.91,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed Yes47c174.56$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.048375.9%63 W · 20 L+17.2wins+0.21per pick55cpaid+57.8%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No61c167.22$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.9814658.9%86 W · 60 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb188…8be3backed Yes64c153.98$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.551040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No58c150$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6312558.4%73 W · 52 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No58c150$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6310860.2%65 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No58c150$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6310558.1%61 W · 44 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6924…1455backed Yes35c126.96$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No35c125.23$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.453344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75fc…0a4cbacked Yes30c120$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361040%4 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+55%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8207…7edbbacked Yes43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508338.6%32 W · 51 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x473e…c0f6backed No56c115.87$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.494429.5%13 W · 31 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-43.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507948.1%38 W · 41 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0c5…8c8abacked Yes44c109.84$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3312935.7%46 W · 83 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No61c101.5$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.091,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed Yes36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3620840.9%85 W · 123 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed No58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4211457%65 W · 49 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427261.1%44 W · 28 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed No56c94.75$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.575358.5%31 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yes29c93.86$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6610130.7%31 W · 70 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No58c89.29$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.518453.8%99 W · 85 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd751…0fedbacked Yes29c86.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+30.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfec4…1958backed Yes63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa4c…c44fbacked Yes22c78.64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-68.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba43…f1aabacked No38c76.32$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.32666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+64.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.