Premier League · resolved market
Will Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0345a3eedda5ce8ccbefaf696b7dd5943eabb6ba1f2f837e911f89bee8a744c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,512
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,972
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,512 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31e0…94b0backed No | 67c | 3,206$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 33c | 2,343$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.28 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 43c | 2,093$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.04 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 30c | 1,191$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.61 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 73c | 868.36$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.48 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 263 | 19.8%52 W · 211 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 76c | 333$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.08 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef2…fdb6backed Yes | 24c | 333$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked No | 68c | 294.63$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 36c | 270.96$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.2 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 54c | 242$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.74 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 59c | 164.81$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 131.36$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.52 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed No | 76c | 131.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 71.6%78 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 25c | 131$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.25 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5901…e11fbacked Yes | 46c | 119.57$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 19c | 117.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 75c | 116$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 51c | 112.66$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.26 | 146 | 58.9%86 W · 60 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 67c | 109.37$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.23 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 70c | 103.33$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 100.49$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.87 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 28c | 95.03$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.67 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 54c | 94.57$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.07 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x595a…bca8backed Yes | 22c | 90.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +299.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 25c | 87.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked No | 69c | 80.57$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.82 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 75c | 80.56$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.62 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 65c | 70.21$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…2777backed Yes | 32c | 62.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 22c | 60$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed No | 55c | 59.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 55.68$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…0114backed No | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 57c | 49.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -8.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 35c | 46.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 125 | 31.2%39 W · 86 L | -11.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Yes | 34c | 44.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed No | 64c | 39.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf47…6c2ebacked No | 76c | 33.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…1e55backed No | 33c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0524…9dcebacked No | 54c | 30.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 52c | 30.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 75c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 77c | 20.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd45c…bb50backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed No | 72c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x582f…03cdbacked No | 75c | 13.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-02?No won
- Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-05-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.