CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe845268db8a602df10f48ca670aae6071f019c74f9eb596ec5caf89d3ab647a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 9zof PARIVISION, 9z
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,209
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,209 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed 9z | 58c | 5,800$3,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,435.98 | 846 | 58.4%494 W · 352 L | +60.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked PARIVISION | 42c | 5,216$2,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,172.71 | 757 | 58.3%441 W · 316 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked 9z | 59c | 3,824$2,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.11 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed PARIVISION | 42c | 2,976$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…b3a2backed PARIVISION | 45c | 1,900$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.99 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed 9z | 58c | 1,597$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.71 | 188 | 46.3%87 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked 9z | 59c | 1,558$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.84 | 3,256 | 50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L | +97.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed PARIVISION | 41c | 1,002$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.65 | 267 | 43.1%115 W · 152 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed 9z | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked 9z | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…848bbacked PARIVISION | 41c | 888$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.08 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked 9z | 58c | 887.97$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.95 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed PARIVISION | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…b8abbacked 9z | 58c | 633$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.86 | 206 | 43.7%90 W · 116 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed 9z | 67c | 598.94$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.94 | 210 | 63.3%133 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed PARIVISION | 42c | 592.37$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.6 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked PARIVISION | 42c | 458.13$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.41 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed PARIVISION | 42c | 392$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.64 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed 9z | 59c | 354.19$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.22 | 645 | 54.4%351 W · 294 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed PARIVISION | 42c | 309.52$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 449 | 44.8%201 W · 248 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…b387backed 9z | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked PARIVISION | 42c | 297.62$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 767 | 48%368 W · 399 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed 9z | 55c | 296.96$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.7 | 508 | 46.9%238 W · 270 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…59a1backed PARIVISION | 45c | 287.65$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 192 | 38%73 W · 119 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked PARIVISION | 42c | 261.9$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 314 | 51.6%162 W · 152 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed PARIVISION | 42c | 249.69$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.87 | 130 | 58.5%76 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed PARIVISION | 41c | 229.06$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.89 | 1,998 | 53.7%1,073 W · 925 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked PARIVISION | 42c | 226.19$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed 9z | 58c | 206.79$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.85 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked PARIVISION | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fe…64f3backed PARIVISION | 41c | 195.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +230.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed 9z | 57c | 183.75$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.01 | 287 | 38%109 W · 178 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4e…c150backed PARIVISION | 42c | 173.18$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.74 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed 9z | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 333 | 54.4%181 W · 152 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed PARIVISION | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…ea83backed PARIVISION | 41c | 119.51$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 325 | 61.2%199 W · 126 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041e…bc83backed PARIVISION | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b4…2ce6backed PARIVISION | 42c | 107.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 297 | 57.6%171 W · 126 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed PARIVISION | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…d422backed 9z | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf0…e384backed 9z | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed PARIVISION | 28c | 81.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed 9z | 54c | 76.65$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 504 | 48.8%246 W · 258 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed 9z | 59c | 74.61$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed 9z | 58c | 64$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 498 | 56.6%282 W · 216 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…32f0backed PARIVISION | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 182 | 39%71 W · 111 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed 9z | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6347…3047backed PARIVISION | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…b470backed PARIVISION | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…0ef5backed PARIVISION | 42c | 54.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…7800backed PARIVISION | 42c | 51.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed 9z | 58c | 51.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 153 | 51%78 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked 9z | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbb…5693backed PARIVISION | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked PARIVISION | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 251 | 43.8%110 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda7e…1f33backed 9z | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x911f…5ed0backed PARIVISION | 42c | 46.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…100ebacked PARIVISION | 43c | 44.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 410 | 69.3%284 W · 126 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x614f…114dbacked PARIVISION | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed PARIVISION | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed PARIVISION | 43c | 38.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb972…105abacked PARIVISION | 39c | 38.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de0…ea80backed 9z | 59c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 196 | 55.1%108 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked PARIVISION | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7344…98f6backed PARIVISION | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…64f8backed PARIVISION | 42c | 33.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5338…f428backed 9z | 59c | 32.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed PARIVISION | 43c | 32.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed 9z | 59c | 30.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4863…dfa4backed PARIVISION | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a79…6acebacked 9z | 61c | 28.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16e9…27f3backed 9z | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked 9z | 55c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 206 | 46.6%96 W · 110 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed 9z | 72c | 17.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed 9z | 64c | 17.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage9z won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winner9z won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner9z won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.