CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9cbd9815ec16bc67eb52abdc606f9e4995ba92a984b449b79b6c2e0ceb14699
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,680
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,680 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 57c | 2,303$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.29 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Over | 60c | 1,323$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -15.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 43c | 1,111$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.72 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 40c | 1,074$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.13 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 42c | 746.74$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.22 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 43c | 646.49$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.99 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Over | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c5…0b58backed Under | 43c | 510$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Over | 52c | 311.86$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.17 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed Over | 49c | 306.3$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 51c | 297.38$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.72 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 57c | 260.63$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.38 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked Over | 55c | 250$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa18d…9b51backed Under | 45c | 250$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeec2…f266backed Under | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd832…4ab0backed Under | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…d735backed Over | 22c | 218.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 43c | 185$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.55 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 77c | 164.1$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Over | 66c | 126$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Under | 57c | 95.33$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 43c | 93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 64c | 91.28$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 43c | 90$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Over | 43c | 90$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Under | 53c | 87$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 267 | 43.1%115 W · 152 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 52c | 56.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Under | 56c | 52.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 287 | 38%109 W · 178 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Under | 78c | 50.33$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3c…a34abacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 264 | 43.2%114 W · 150 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over | 47c | 42.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Over | 44c | 39.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Over | 52c | 31.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 331 | 56.5%187 W · 144 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Over | 43c | 30.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…9646backed Under | 57c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 220 | 59.1%130 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…8869backed Under | 56c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 57c | 22.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…16abbacked Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage9z won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winner9z won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner9z won
- Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)9z won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.