CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xceee594e8668496306958b560b0eb7129c4c0d448b90194439d6e9bec2c88fdc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $143,579
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,484
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,579 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Over | 47c | 135,000$63,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,699.94 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 52c | 84,947$44,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,172.48 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked Under | 55c | 33,505$18,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,415.19 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a5…31bcbacked Under | 55c | 6,443$3,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,552.48 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Under | 55c | 5,703$3,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,136.48 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Under | 55c | 5,455$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Over | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 44c | 908$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.48 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 54c | 690.69$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.31 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Over | 45c | 665$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.75 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Under | 55c | 462.18$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.2 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…df3cbacked Over | 47c | 252.89$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.21 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Under | 69c | 160.43$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.68 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 29c | 157$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.79 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 55c | 78.18$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 164 | 44.5%73 W · 91 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Under | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…a3abbacked Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d51…7317backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bf…c71ebacked Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34f5…9639backed Under | 59c | 58.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 32c | 58.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Under | 55c | 57.59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 62c | 56.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b7…be96backed Under | 52c | 54.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…3152backed Over | 59c | 54.04$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed Over | 32c | 52.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 69c | 50.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 56c | 49.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdef1…c0debacked Under | 57c | 41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Over | 27c | 41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.93 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8b…9ec5backed Over | 66c | 38.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Under | 68c | 36.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52fe…effdbacked Over | 47c | 34.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Over | 40c | 33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 251 | 43.8%110 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89bc…a463backed Over | 34c | 32.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e66…e1b2backed Under | 72c | 31.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 43c | 30.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2d…1dc7backed Over | 42c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Under | 73c | 24.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 46c | 24.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 45c | 24.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -9.3wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc85b…8b98backed Under | 57c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Over | 57c | 21.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 64c | 19.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1G2 won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 - Map 1 WinnerG2 won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 - Map 2 WinnerM80 won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)M80 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.