CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4513d7e25448e0026ea41f551d7077de29c33db3e621c4736d1aadb1caab1d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of G2, M80
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,737
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,737 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x861f…a189backed G2 | 57c | 1,901$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.07 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed G2 | 46c | 1,082$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafa2…e45cbacked M80 | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked M80 | 53c | 776.99$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.18 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked G2 | 74c | 500$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked M80 | 26c | 500$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…b476backed M80 | 54c | 340.03$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.82 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…8795backed M80 | 55c | 330$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked M80 | 44c | 306.47$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.47 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed G2 | 43c | 306.3$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.71 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed M80 | 41c | 257.58$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.84 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed G2 | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfe…d83fbacked M80 | 57c | 162.33$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.8 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed G2 | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 222 | 54.5%121 W · 101 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed M80 | 38c | 147.37$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.37 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked G2 | 46c | 145$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed M80 | 54c | 145$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.7 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed M80 | 54c | 131.57$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.54 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed M80 | 55c | 129.98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.49 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…0ef8backed G2 | 46c | 125$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked M80 | 57c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed G2 | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed M80 | 43c | 52.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.93 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed M80 | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 144 | 39.6%57 W · 87 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x846d…67b3backed M80 | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 248 | 42.7%106 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed M80 | 43c | 25.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1G2 won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 - Map 1 WinnerG2 won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 - Map 2 WinnerM80 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.