CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75a4c21396b76f34be635a7bb5cd41d63898d6c4c66f96bb470b223973592683
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2of G2, M80
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,408
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,408 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked M80 | 16c | 2,400$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.43 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41cc…8c9dbacked M80 | 2c | 1,547$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed M80 | 16c | 1,540$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370d…a9e0backed M80 | 16c | 1,215$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.41 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked M80 | 8c | 1,186$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.95 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked M80 | 16c | 818.19$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.73 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked M80 | 13c | 770$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…f764backed G2 | 66c | 569.37$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.37 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked M80 | 8c | 555.15$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.65 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed M80 | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…500cbacked M80 | 5c | 442.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked M80 | 8c | 433.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed M80 | 20c | 342.84$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.32 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed M80 | 37c | 271.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.31 | 365 | 54.8%200 W · 165 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked M80 | 15c | 243.16$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed M80 | 12c | 226.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked M80 | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…f66ebacked M80 | 10c | 185$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed M80 | 14c | 180$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…727fbacked M80 | 33c | 160$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +5.2wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked M80 | 21c | 141.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked G2 | 67c | 121.09$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.88 | 236 | 46.2%109 W · 127 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked M80 | 15c | 119.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed M80 | 17c | 104.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 245 | 50.2%123 W · 122 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed G2 | 76c | 104.17$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed G2 | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked G2 | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed M80 | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked M80 | 15c | 91.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc226…497dbacked G2 | 66c | 75.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed M80 | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb898…151cbacked G2 | 64c | 60.44$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked M80 | 34c | 56.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed M80 | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed M80 | 34c | 47.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed G2 | 66c | 21.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 164 | 44.5%73 W · 91 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5768…a918backed G2 | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1G2 won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 - Map 2 WinnerM80 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)M80 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.