Earnings · resolved market
Will Papa John's International (PZZA) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6a874aae0a33379fbd7aa2ac48cfa5ee74c8e7cb17fbb411da41bdd33018d29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $365,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $366,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $365,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5d8…88b4backed No | 3c | 1,043$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 958.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfce…80c7backed No | 30c | 299.96$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 344 | 37.2%128 W · 216 L | +22.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x701e…9013backed No | 50c | 250.05$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.04 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…43c5backed Yes | 69c | 224.12$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 31c | 224.12$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.48 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…451cbacked No | 29c | 209.97$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.89 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked Yes | 71c | 173.5$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.64 | 216 | 39.4%85 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…8033backed Yes | 69c | 144.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33df…337dbacked No | 30c | 126.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…3a2abacked No | 31c | 113.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 69 | 14.5%10 W · 59 L | -8.8wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -62%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x520c…c42dbacked Yes | 58c | 85.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.71 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Yes | 62c | 70.8$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…c866backed Yes | 62c | 69.79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd00…4fc0backed No | 42c | 61.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56e5…6f6abacked No | 35c | 57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf98f…927dbacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x225d…e4debacked Yes | 69c | 48.54$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…c659backed No | 34c | 45.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4efd…9e75backed No | 27c | 44.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed No | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c3…abb0backed Yes | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22df…ed56backed No | 65c | 35.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…2e1dbacked Yes | 59c | 35.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8837…4cf5backed No | 31c | 34.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d49…6b99backed Yes | 67c | 33.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed No | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb548…4e9abacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…e333backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5f…0bfcbacked Yes | 73c | 27.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1e…8213backed No | 42c | 24.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe7…dbd6backed Yes | 60c | 24.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 303 | 15.2%46 W · 257 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…f774backed Yes | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed Yes | 67c | 20.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50d6…f94abacked Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac2…f35fbacked Yes | 64c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 73cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a7c1backed Yes | 71c | 17.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b79…6f9dbacked Yes | 68c | 17.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 263 | 50.2%132 W · 131 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…a0b8backed Yes | 67c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfe…f1a1backed Yes | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcef…3a8abacked Yes | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2d…1dc7backed Yes | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.