TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FUT Esportsof FUT Esports, TheMongolz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$299,127
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$323,580

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $299,127 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 341 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked FUT Esports44c22,995$10,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,986.863,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked TheMongolz67c14,219$9,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,540.5922468.8%154 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed FUT Esports47c10,000$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,299.9716152.8%85 W · 76 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed TheMongolz61c7,111$4,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,308.242,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked FUT Esports41c6,034$2,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,548.042,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cf4…20b3backed TheMongolz52c5,193$2,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,714.8210748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked FUT Esports39c4,705$1,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,860.7244957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf94f…9adabacked TheMongolz53c4,451$2,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,350.515267.3%35 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed TheMongolz50c4,264$2,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,146.9437646.3%174 W · 202 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed FUT Esports79c4,065$3,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.9312571.2%89 W · 36 L+11.9wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed FUT Esports42c3,909$1,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,262.2787047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed FUT Esports43c3,802$1,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,160.676,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed FUT Esports48c3,049$1,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,585.2531345%141 W · 172 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed TheMongolz52c2,987$1,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,551.546749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10e0…c736backed TheMongolz67c2,943$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,959.9314362.9%90 W · 53 L+11.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked FUT Esports41c2,910$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,726.631,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked TheMongolz50c2,890$1,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,436.953,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked FUT Esports53c2,717$1,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,269.095,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed TheMongolz75c2,321$1,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,730.8511643.1%50 W · 66 L-13.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-27.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FUT Esports45c2,257$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.031,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc690…42b8backed TheMongolz74c2,238$1,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,648.11633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-43.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3f40…e1f2backed TheMongolz54c2,143$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.164351.2%22 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f14…1e77backed FUT Esports56c2,135$1,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.2611166.7%74 W · 37 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x835b…6f16backed TheMongolz50c2,060$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.273748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+22.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked TheMongolz71c2,020$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,430.138353%44 W · 39 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x31d4…a7abbacked FUT Esports47c1,940$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.0216447%77 W · 87 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed FUT Esports60c1,917$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.8455043.1%237 W · 313 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked FUT Esports51c1,916$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.8775245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed FUT Esports29c1,638$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,163.3333452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked TheMongolz56c1,587$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.391,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed TheMongolz61c1,572$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.0956732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed FUT Esports49c1,523$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.2853746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3bc…2f60backed FUT Esports29c1,515$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.365543.6%24 W · 31 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x255f…cd91backed FUT Esports49c1,435$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.798947.2%42 W · 47 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked TheMongolz46c1,383$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.2381244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked FUT Esports35c1,344$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.737,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked TheMongolz48c1,328$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.9140950.6%207 W · 202 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed TheMongolz48c1,235$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.6646243.3%200 W · 262 L+1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5593…2cd1backed FUT Esports21c1,134$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.99256.5%52 W · 40 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed FUT Esports35c1,091$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.141,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc426…20b4backed FUT Esports48c1,087$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.389656.3%54 W · 42 L+10.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+27.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb53a…e694backed FUT Esports46c1,050$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.5613238.6%51 W · 81 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed TheMongolz57c1,021$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.6116947.9%81 W · 88 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked TheMongolz53c1,002$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.3664852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed TheMongolz53c986.38$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.7857358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked TheMongolz37c927.04$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.2619540%78 W · 117 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed TheMongolz51c911.77$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.0846949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked TheMongolz52c908.95$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.651681.3%13 W · 3 L+5.2wins+0.33per pick49cpaid+64.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2a71…e454backed TheMongolz52c875.95$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.4924944.6%111 W · 138 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed TheMongolz51c859.53$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.3622342.2%94 W · 129 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed TheMongolz66c856.83$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.7638552.7%203 W · 182 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fef…b2b5backed FUT Esports36c848.9$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.985450%27 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7342…1db7backed TheMongolz52c847.41$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.571637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-42.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed FUT Esports46c821.45$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.1448437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe02…be9dbacked FUT Esports52c809.03$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.1231253.5%167 W · 145 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed TheMongolz54c799.95$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.9729851.3%153 W · 145 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41bb…26e8backed TheMongolz51c756.4$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.319254.3%50 W · 42 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed FUT Esports51c730.6$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.376154.1%33 W · 28 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed FUT Esports49c706.3$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.2252951.4%272 W · 257 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed FUT Esports43c706.24$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.384,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed FUT Esports39c700$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43078348.4%379 W · 404 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked FUT Esports49c699.95$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.9794645.8%433 W · 513 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked FUT Esports39c693.38$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.6438454.2%208 W · 176 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed TheMongolz60c661.1$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.4424457%139 W · 105 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe35…5d8bbacked TheMongolz53c659.17$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.581735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-33.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed TheMongolz57c632.04$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.7161837.9%234 W · 384 L-22.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed FUT Esports38c613.04$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.241,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97ea…3363backed FUT Esports47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31813357.1%76 W · 57 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked TheMongolz72c599.98$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.995653.6%30 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c8c…dc9ebacked FUT Esports58c595.63$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.93560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed TheMongolz51c594.1$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.9931444.9%141 W · 173 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked TheMongolz48c548.89$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.4740253.7%216 W · 186 L+25.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked TheMongolz57c545.09$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.613,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e8d…febfbacked TheMongolz69c541.04$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.4816344.8%73 W · 90 L-32.6wins-0.20per pick65cpaid-34.1%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xc5ac…aa06backed TheMongolz71c530.44$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.624645.7%21 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c23…261ebacked TheMongolz53c514.21$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.0520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x421e…1e47backed FUT Esports47c503.88$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.059023.3%21 W · 69 L-9.4wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-32.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed FUT Esports48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26060848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cfd…cd33backed TheMongolz55c498.05$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.52520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed FUT Esports48c494.98$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.3948562.7%304 W · 181 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56de…bc32backed FUT Esports71c491.3$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.485349.1%26 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e85…3015backed FUT Esports45c473.3$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.188563.5%54 W · 31 L+9.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+35%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed TheMongolz59c441.04$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.4629052.4%152 W · 138 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a07…923fbacked TheMongolz53c423.34$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.488161.7%50 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked FUT Esports52c407.37$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.549443.6%41 W · 53 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed FUT Esports48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20836749.3%181 W · 186 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ddc…6796backed FUT Esports30c397.18$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.63837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked FUT Esports36c397.13$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.42,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked FUT Esports44c391.91$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.9416738.9%65 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9345…0afbbacked TheMongolz52c389.93$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.9915363.4%97 W · 56 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed TheMongolz51c380.72$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.1261338.2%234 W · 379 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked TheMongolz52c372.24$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.7235550.1%178 W · 177 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed FUT Esports46c371.66$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.385,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb1c…8b41backed TheMongolz51c367.4$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.372437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2816…8e43backed TheMongolz77c360.3$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.712763%17 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed TheMongolz55c353.82$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.622444.2%99 W · 125 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5454…ceadbacked FUT Esports48c351.9$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.999552.6%50 W · 45 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed FUT Esports30c344.36$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.4139258.2%228 W · 164 L+18.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb110…21eabacked TheMongolz57c343.71$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.8540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-40.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3804…6d61backed TheMongolz52c338.43$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.986426.6%17 W · 47 L-12.3wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.