CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6f5697554bb08f2c6d7ba66729e49a8e3d24855cfc57d6f8313b2f8b123fb5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FUT Esportsof FUT Esports, TheMongolz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,246
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb53a…e694backed FUT Esports | 32c | 6,076$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,137.92 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed FUT Esports | 35c | 4,079$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,636.69 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked TheMongolz | 68c | 2,017$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.81 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed TheMongolz | 66c | 1,824$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.83 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked TheMongolz | 65c | 1,620$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.2 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked TheMongolz | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.98 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked TheMongolz | 1c | 1,200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 197 | 3.6%7 W · 190 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed FUT Esports | 55c | 1,019$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.51 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4f…9b0cbacked TheMongolz | 45c | 892.91$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.38 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…54c2backed FUT Esports | 31c | 618.45$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.73 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked FUT Esports | 33c | 581.7$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.74 | 193 | 55.4%107 W · 86 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked TheMongolz | 64c | 581.58$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.92 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d8…0175backed TheMongolz | 2c | 575$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FUT Esports | 34c | 523.13$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.18 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed TheMongolz | 71c | 380$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.5 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddc…6796backed TheMongolz | 45c | 335.23$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed TheMongolz | 69c | 311.1$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.66 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked FUT Esports | 31c | 307.94$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.08 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked FUT Esports | 31c | 299.38$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.82 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed FUT Esports | 33c | 290.85$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.87 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…c665backed FUT Esports | 33c | 285.89$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.83 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked FUT Esports | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked TheMongolz | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eff…fa9dbacked FUT Esports | 34c | 141.24$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 30cpaid | +40%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a1…8c96backed FUT Esports | 30c | 124.54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.18 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked FUT Esports | 26c | 110$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.4 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed52…2dbdbacked TheMongolz | 48c | 104$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked FUT Esports | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 232 | 34.9%81 W · 151 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked FUT Esports | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 251 | 43.8%110 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked TheMongolz | 63c | 97.94$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.49 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…1f62backed FUT Esports | 33c | 95.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.31 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…2ac1backed FUT Esports | 33c | 90.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.41 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…9339backed FUT Esports | 30c | 81.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.89 | 418 | 48.8%204 W · 214 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e1…c2babacked FUT Esports | 47c | 61.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 471 | 46.7%220 W · 251 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked FUT Esports | 30c | 60.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked FUT Esports | 28c | 55.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed FUT Esports | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 164 | 61.6%101 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed FUT Esports | 45c | 46.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…5f48backed TheMongolz | 70c | 45.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6347…3047backed FUT Esports | 26c | 43.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.36 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed TheMongolz | 71c | 42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed FUT Esports | 29c | 41.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked FUT Esports | 31c | 35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 306 | 39.5%121 W · 185 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed TheMongolz | 53c | 34.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked TheMongolz | 66c | 30.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed TheMongolz | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed FUT Esports | 48c | 29.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…929abacked TheMongolz | 66c | 26.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed TheMongolz | 68c | 21.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…9d38backed TheMongolz | 79c | 18.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe303…401abacked FUT Esports | 74c | 17.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked TheMongolz | 71c | 14.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 275 | 56.7%156 W · 119 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest PlayoffsFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz - Map 1 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)FUT Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.